Event Results

Div I Men's Épée

October NACSurprise Map

Monday, October 10, 2022 at 8:00 AM Minneapolis, MN, USA
291 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 HADZIC Alen D V V V V V V V V V V V 5.1 5 -0.1
2 HADDAD Justin R. V V V V V D V V V V V D 4.7 5 +0.3
3 DUNCAN Corwin D V V D D V V V V V V D 4.0 3 -1.0
3 NOLLNER Dylan V V D V V D V V V V D 4.0 4 -
5 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. V D V V V V V V V V V V V V V V D 8.8 11 +2.2
6 LAWSON Henry A. V V V D D V V V V D 4.0 4 -
7 SZAPARY Tristan B. V D D V V V V V V D 4.7 4 -0.7
8 KRAFT Dennis A. D V D D V V D D V V D D V V V V V V D 8.7 5 -3.7
9 WHITE Sean V V V V V V V V D 5.2 6 +0.8
10 LIEF Isaac R. V D V V V V V V V D V D V V V D 4.1 9 +4.9
11 WEISS Miles J. V D V V D V V V D 4.4 4 -0.4
12 FRENCH Dylan V V D V V D V V D 4.1 4 -0.1
13 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. V V D D V D V V D 4.0 3 -1.0
14 NORTH Gary S. V D V D V D V V D V D D V V V V D 8.8 6 -2.8
15 LEE Daniel Y. V V V V V V D D V V V D V V V D 6.0 9 +3.0
16 LOMBARDO Theodore (Teddy) V V V V V V V V V D D D V V V D 8.5 9 +0.5
17 ZHANG Nicholas Z. V V V V V V V D 4.0 6 +2.0
18 ZAGORUIKO Ivan V V V D V V V D 3.9 5 +1.1
19 KUSHNERIK Ethan V V V D V V V D 3.9 5 +1.1
20 TAFOYA Devin D. V V V D V V V D V V V V V V D 8.6 10 +1.4
21 LEE Ryan D V V V V V V D V D V V V V D 8.0 9 +1.0
22 IMREK Samuel A. V V D V V D V D 3.2 4 +0.8
23 YERGLER Jonathan A. V D D V D V D V V V D V V V V D 8.5 7 -1.5
24 KAULL James T. V V V V V D D V D V V V V V D 9.8 9 -0.8
25 MCDOWALD Curtis E. V V D V D V V D 5.2 4 -1.2
26 RODNEY Adam R. V V D V V V D V V D V V V V D 10.3 9 -1.3
27 HILBERT Xavier D V D V D V V D 3.9 3 -0.9
28 LARSEN Samuel F. D D V V D V V D 3.8 3 -0.8
29 ZAFFT Maximo S. D V V V D V V D D V D V V V V D 7.0 7 -
30 HANSEN Jonas B. V D D D V V V V D 4.6 3 -1.6
31 PRASAD Ankith V V D V V V D D D V V D V V V D 5.8 7 +1.2
32 LAWSON Nicholas W. V D D V D D V V D 3.5 2 -1.5
33 LIVERANT Skyler J. V V V V V V D 3.3 6 +2.7
34 FEINBERG Gabriel M. D V V V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
35 INSLER Ethan C. V V V V D V V V V V V D V D 6.9 10 +3.1
36 BORODITSKY Ethan V V V D V V V V V D V V V D 5.2 10 +4.8
37 SMOAK Omari Z. V V D V V V V V D V V V V D 7.7 10 +2.3
38 LIU Alexander V D V V V D D V V V V V V V D 7.7 9 +1.3
39 GALLAGHER PELLETIER Samuel H. V V V D D V V V V D V V V D 9.3 9 -0.3
40 PISKOVATSKOV Anton V V D D V V V V V D V D V D 8.6 8 -0.6
41 LANGE Henry C. V V V D V D D 4.0 4 -
42 XU Timothy (Tingwei) V V V D V D V V D D V V V V D 9.2 8 -1.2
43 PISKOVATSKOV Jonathan (Yonik) V V V D D V D 3.6 4 +0.4
44 YOO Justin D V V V V D D 5.2 4 -1.2
45 IYOKI Kent V D V V D V D 2.9 4 +1.1
46 EWART Jr. Stephen P. V D V V D V D 4.8 4 -0.8
47 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA V V V V V D D V V D V V V D 4.5 9 +4.5
48 SHELANSKI Isaac D D V V V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
49 MAZUR Daniil V D V V V V V D V V V D V D 7.8 9 +1.2
50 CANDELA Nicholas V V D V D V D 3.4 4 +0.6
51 GUINAN Joseph V V V D V D V D D V V V V V D 5.5 8 +2.5
52 CANDREVA Hunter R. V D V V V D V V D V D D V D 7.6 7 -0.6
53 FAFARD Fynn V V D V D D D 4.2 3 -1.2
54 WU Joseph V V V D D V V D V D V D V D 6.7 7 +0.3
55 KUMAR Anitya V V D V V V V D D D V V V D 5.3 8 +2.7
56 SPIER Julian H. V D V V D D V D V D V D V V D 6.6 6 -0.6
56 SU Caleb V V V D V V D V D V D V V D 4.0 8 +4.0
58 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) D D V V D V D 2.7 3 +0.3
59 MACZIK Adam W. V V V V V V D D D V V D V V D 6.5 8 +1.5
60 BEKKER Mitchel D V V D V V V D D V D D V V V D 6.0 6 -
61 JONES Simon A. V D D V V V V D V D D D V V D 8.5 6 -2.5
62 RAMIREZ Yeisser D D V V D D V D 4.5 2 -2.5
62 EMARA Omar V V V V V V D V D D D V V V D 4.6 8 +3.4
64 RHYU Kozmo V V V D V V D D D V V D V V D 6.0 7 +1.0
65 GIBSON Nowell L. D D D V V D D V D V V D V V D 6.4 5 -1.4
66 FRAY Alexander V V D D V V V D V V D D V D 6.7 7 +0.3
67 MURPHY Thomas P. V V V V V D V D V D D V V D 2.9 8 +5.1
68 KHAYAT Ziad D V V V D V D V D D V V V D 9.1 7 -2.1
68 CLICK Aiden V V V D V D V D V V D V D 5.6 7 +1.4
70 POPOVICI Michael A. V D D D D V D 3.0 2 -1.0
71 MOORE Shomari A. D V V D D D D 2.9 2 -0.9
72 KATS Dylan G. V V V D V V D D V V D D V D 4.8 7 +2.2
72 BEZRODNOV Alexander D D V V V V D D V D D V V D 3.8 5 +1.2
74 KADYSZEWSKI Mateo V V V V V D D D D D V V V D 8.5 7 -1.5
75 LEE Shwan V V V V V D D V D D D V V D 5.7 7 +1.3
76 IMREK Elijah S. D V V V V V V D D D V D V D 3.3 7 +3.7
77 KAMBESELES Peter G. V V D D V V D D D V V D V 6.5 6 -0.5
78 NOWAK Jakub P. D D D V V V V D D D D V V V 5.7 5 -0.7
79 MCKEEVER Luca V D V D D D V D D D D V V V 3.3 4 +0.7
80 JEYOON Ryan S. V D V V V V D D D D V V V 6.2 7 +0.8
81 MATTIS George V D V D V D D D V D D D V V 3.7 4 +0.3
82 SMITH Dwight D D D D D V 3.7 1 -2.7
82 CARPENTER Liam V V V V V V D D D D V D V 8.0 7 -1.0
84 VAYSBUKH Konstantin V V D V V D D D V D D D V 7.1 5 -2.1
85 VERMEULE Spencer V D V V V D D D V D D D V V 6.7 5 -1.7
86 SHARMA Sanil V V V V V V V D D D D D V 6.0 7 +1.0
87 CUMMINGS Atticus C. V V V V V V D D D D V D V 6.5 7 +0.5
88 YOUNG Peyton E. V D V V D V D V D D D D V 5.4 5 -0.4
89 SAITOC Tudor D V V V V V D D D D V D V 7.1 6 -1.1
90 CHU Allan V V V D V D D D V D D D V V 3.8 5 +1.2
91 SMITH Justin C. V D V D V D D D V D D D V V 4.8 4 -0.8
92 KIM Byung D V V V D V D V D D D D V V 4.2 5 +0.8
93 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. D V D V V V D D D V D D V 5.6 5 -0.6
94 CARRIER Gabriel A. D V D D V V D D D D D V V V 4.0 4 -
95 HONDOR Robert D. V V V V D D D D V D D V 6.0 5 -1.0
96 SIVAKUMAR Ajit D V V V D V V D D D D D V V 6.3 5 -1.3
97 KANG Philip F. V V V V V V D D D D D D V 6.6 6 -0.6
98 LONCAR Luka E. V V V D V V D D D D D D V 6.4 5 -1.4
99 BOYCE Samuel H. V V V V V V D 3.5 6 +2.5
100 SHAH S Ayush V V V V V V D 4.7 6 +1.3
101 SENNEWALD James J. V V V V V V D 3.4 6 +2.6
102 GOHEL Dayus T. D V V V V V D 3.8 5 +1.2
103 GORNOVSKY David J. V V V V D V D 5.3 5 -0.3
104 KAMBESELES Jack M. D V V V V V D 3.6 5 +1.4
105 FORTIN Paul V V V V D V D 4.1 5 +0.9
106 UKOLOV Dimitri V V D V V V D 3.7 5 +1.3
107 CHOI Mason V D V V V V D 1.8 5 +3.2
108 SHIV Rishi V D V D V V D 3.8 4 +0.2
108 BRUNET Nathan V V D D V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
110 WILSON Brent (Brent Wilson) A. V D V V V D D 4.4 4 -0.4
111 EKE Frank D D V V V V D 3.0 4 +1.0
112 ANDREEV Arthur D V D V V V D 4.0 4 -
113 FULLERTON Houston T. V D V D V V V D 5.1 4 -1.1
114 POULIQUEN Nicolas J. V V D D V V V D 2.8 4 +1.2
114 HUSSAIN Kamran V V D V D V V D 2.4 4 +1.6
116 MELCHER Jack H. D V V V V D V D 3.8 4 +0.2
117 DIECK Logan O. V V D V D V V D 2.8 4 +1.2
118 CANAUX Gabriel A. V V V V D D V D 4.5 4 -0.5
119 ROSTAL Scott E. V V D D V V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
119 KOBI Samuel D V V D V V V D 3.5 4 +0.5
119 HE Lawrence V D V V V D V D 3.0 4 +1.0
122 CAI Brian V D D V V V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
123 WRIGHT Christopher D V V V V D V D 1.8 4 +2.2
124 SUVOROV Yuly V D V V V D V D 2.7 4 +1.3
125 MUNLIN Donovan D V V V D V V D 4.0 4 -
126 WHITE Khristopher E. V D V D V V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
127 GAO Chaney C. V V D V V D V D 2.3 4 +1.7
128 PARK Elliot V V D V D V V D 2.2 4 +1.8
129 SENNEWALD Frederick A. V D V V V D V D 2.5 4 +1.5
130 PARK Ian C. D V V V V D V D 3.8 4 +0.2
130 CHO Tyler H. V V V V D D V D 3.8 4 +0.2
132 CHIRASHNYA Daniel D V V V V D V D 2.6 4 +1.4
133 LACROIX Floryan D D V V V V D 2.2 3 +0.8
134 MORSE Tyler V V V D D V D 2.4 3 +0.6
135 HOLTZ Donovan K. D V V D V V D 2.8 3 +0.2
136 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei D D V V V D V D 3.9 3 -0.9
137 JIN Owen D D V V V D V D 3.2 3 -0.2
138 LIPPMAN Eli V V D V D D V D 3.5 3 -0.5
139 GREGORY Abram V D V V D D V D 2.5 3 +0.5
140 PRIHODKO Max V D V V D D V D 2.7 3 +0.3
141 MCDANIELS Jeremy V V V D D D V D 3.1 3 -0.1
142 CHEN Eric D D V V V D V D 4.2 3 -1.2
143 BEDOR William J. D V D D V V V D 4.4 3 -1.4
144 JIN Nicholas V D V D D V V D 2.9 3 +0.1
145 DENNIS Ethan D V D V V D V D 1.7 3 +1.3
146 PELLEGRINO Maurício V D D V V D V D 4.4 3 -1.4
147 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. V V D D V D V D 3.3 3 -0.3
148 CHIRASHNYA Adam D V D V D V V D 1.4 3 +1.6
148 SMITH Nicholas S. V D V D D V V D 3.8 3 -0.8
148 KHANNA Nikhil D D V V V D V D 2.9 3 +0.1
151 PARK Frederick D V V V D D V D 2.3 3 +0.7
152 XU Zitong (Evan) D V D V V D V D 3.8 3 -0.8
153 KIM Dylan J. V V D D D V V D 2.8 3 +0.2
154 PINILLA POLANCO arthur andrey V D V D V D V D 3.2 3 -0.2
155 HAN Matthew V D D D V V D 3.3 2 -1.3
156 JOVANOVIC Jovan D V D D V D V D 3.4 2 -1.4
157 NIKOLOV Peter D D D D V V V D 2.7 2 -0.7
158 MOSES Alexander D V D D D V V D 3.3 2 -1.3
159 KIM Sterling S. V V D D D D V D 1.6 2 +0.4
160 LIOZNYANSKY Simon V D D D D V V D 2.8 2 -0.8
161 ZENG Zihan D V D D V D V D 1.9 2 +0.1
162 O'DONNELL Benjamin V D D D D V V D 1.6 2 +0.4
163 MILLER Jeffrey E. D V D V V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
164 MARIN Lucas V V V D D V D 1.6 4 +2.4
165 BEZRODNOV Michael D D V V V V D 3.0 4 +1.0
166 PETROSEWICZ Thomas (TJ) ". V D V V V D D 4.0 4 -
166 JOHNSTON Conner S. D V D V V V D 2.7 4 +1.3
168 SANDERS Ian W. V V D V V D D 5.0 4 -1.0
169 KROPP Jack D V D V V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
170 BUYANOV Nikita V. D V V V V D D 2.2 4 +1.8
171 THAYER Bryce V V V D D V D 2.7 4 +1.3
172 NORTH Alexander M. D V D V V V D 3.0 4 +1.0
173 FULLER George K. D V V V D V D 3.5 4 +0.5
174 LEE Seungwon V V D V D D 2.6 3 +0.4
175 SITBON-TAYLOR Noe B. D V V D D V D 3.4 3 -0.4
176 GAO Daniel D V V V D D D 2.8 3 +0.2
177 RODNEY Maxwell V V D D D V D 3.1 3 -0.1
178 IVAKIMOV Vasil V D D V V D D 3.2 3 -0.2
179 YAO Geoffrey B. V D V D D V D 2.6 3 +0.4
180 GATZA Logan D D V V V D D 3.5 3 -0.5
181 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar V D V V D D D 3.8 3 -0.8
182 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin D V D D V V D 2.6 3 +0.4
183 WESTPHAL David R. D V V D V D D 3.8 3 -0.8
184 GYURE Brayden H. D V V D D V D 3.6 3 -0.6
185 GARRETT Samuel D V D V D V D 2.8 3 +0.2
186 MANDOKI Sandor I. V D V D D V D 4.1 3 -1.1
186 HASSAN Sultan V D V D D V D 3.2 3 -0.2
188 WONG Chi Ho V D D V V D D 2.8 3 +0.2
189 PHILIPPINE Matthias A. D D V D V V D 3.9 3 -0.9
190 GASPAROVICH IV George M. V V D D V D D 3.5 3 -0.5
191 MADSEN Jr Eric W. D V V D D V D 2.7 3 +0.3
192 PHUKAN Rohin D V V D D V D 1.9 3 +1.1
193 GRAY Sterling B. V V D V D D D 2.8 3 +0.2
194 FU Leon V D V D V D D 1.8 3 +1.2
195 LEE JoonWon D D V D V V D 1.5 3 +1.5
196 KIM Benjamin I. V D D V D V D 3.0 3 -
197 BOUMEDIENNE Sami D V D V V D D 2.2 3 +0.8
198 ROLLO Emmett H. V D V V D D D 2.1 3 +0.9
199 TABLEMAN Doug S. D D V V V D D 4.0 3 -1.0
200 SCHULZE Ethan V V D V D D D 2.4 3 +0.6
201 SPINA Joseph B. V D D V V D D 1.2 3 +1.8
202 BRETON Jayden D V D D V V D 1.5 3 +1.5
203 IARIKOV Nicholas D D V D V V D 1.8 3 +1.2
204 PAK Elliot D V D V D V D 1.2 3 +1.8
205 JIN Daniel V D V V D D D 3.0 3 -
206 KIM Nathan D D D V V V D 1.7 3 +1.3
207 WU Jonathan D D D V V D 1.8 2 +0.2
208 NEAL John P. V D D V D D 1.5 2 +0.5
209 WOLFE Alex D V D D D V D 2.2 2 -0.2
209 GAO Tiger D D D V V D D 3.7 2 -1.7
211 KUMAR Aidan V D D D D V D 2.0 2 -
212 MODULLA Yathin R. D V D D V D D 1.6 2 +0.4
213 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. V D D D D V D 3.3 2 -1.3
214 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick D D D D V V D 3.4 2 -1.4
215 LEE Samuel Y. D D D V V D D 2.4 2 -0.4
216 KOKENGE Clark V D V D D D D 3.4 2 -1.4
217 CHONG christopher V D D D D V D 4.5 2 -2.5
218 CAO Albert D D V D D V D 2.1 2 -0.1
219 DEKERMANJI Christopher V D D V D D D 1.9 2 +0.1
220 JOSEPH William D V D V D D D 3.6 2 -1.6
221 STRAUSS Luke V D D D D V D 2.7 2 -0.7
222 JACKSON James D V V D D D D 1.9 2 +0.1
222 CAO Brad D D D V V D D 1.3 2 +0.7
224 ZHANG Alec D D D V V D D 2.2 2 -0.2
225 YOON Nathan V D V D D D D 3.2 2 -1.2
225 ALVAREZ Ian T. V D D D V D D 2.3 2 -0.3
227 NGUYEN Tate V D D V D D D 1.7 2 +0.3
228 HENSAL Nicolas A. V D D D D V D 2.8 2 -0.8
228 GORIUNOV IVAN A. V D V D D D D 3.1 2 -1.1
228 KARNAS Karol V D V D D D D 2.0 2 -
228 SONN Rohan V D D V D D D 1.4 2 +0.6
232 JORDAN Anton V D D D D V 1.9 2 +0.1
233 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. D V D D D V 2.0 2 -
234 LAI Aedin D D V V D D 1.3 2 +0.7
235 ROBBINS Christopher (Chris) W. V V D D D D 1.0 2 +1.0
236 MACARTY Jordan T. D D V D D V 2.5 2 -0.5
236 YU Hunter V V D D D D 1.0 2 +1.0
238 CHRISTENSEN Parker V D D V D D 1.6 2 +0.4
239 SWANSON Lars M. D V D D D V 2.0 2 -
239 KILUK Andrew D D V D D V 2.6 2 -0.6
241 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. D V V D D D 3.7 2 -1.7
242 PADHYE Siddhant D D D V V D 2.0 2 -
243 BRISLAWN Reilly R. D V D V D D 3.2 2 -1.2
244 CHAWLA Armaan D D D V V D 2.9 2 -0.9
244 CUI Oscar (Bo Lang) V D D V D D 1.9 2 +0.1
244 ZHU Eric D V D V D D 1.4 2 +0.6
247 WRIGHT Ezra B. D V D D D 2.1 1 -1.1
248 LIN Kyran D D V D D D 3.2 1 -2.2
249 ZHANG William D D D V D D 2.9 1 -1.9
250 SHEN Max D D D V D D 1.9 1 -0.9
251 LIM Timothy D. V D D D D D 2.4 1 -1.4
252 KOPPE Alexander D D D D D V 1.9 1 -0.9
253 HEADRICK Lance D D D D D V 1.1 1 -0.1
254 WANG DEVON D D D D D V 2.7 1 -1.7
254 MISHIMA Torata V D D D D D 3.0 1 -2.0
256 MUGA Aiden D D D V D D 1.1 1 -0.1
257 CARTER Austin L. D D D D V D 1.9 1 -0.9
257 ELLIS Yehia S. D D V D D D 3.8 1 -2.8
257 SPRINGER Michael D D D D D V 2.2 1 -1.2
260 SHA Michael D D D D D V 1.1 1 -0.1
260 MENDOZA Zachari V D D D D D 2.2 1 -1.2
262 HILBERT Gabriel E. D V D D D D 2.5 1 -1.5
262 KANAR Ian D V D D D D 3.8 1 -2.8
264 COLLYMORE Spencer T. D D D D D V 3.5 1 -2.5
264 LIU Kyle D D V D D D 3.0 1 -2.0
266 ZHANG Caden D D D V D D 0.9 1 +0.1
266 POS Theo D D D D V D 2.7 1 -1.7
268 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. D D D V D D 0.9 1 +0.1
268 PHAM Sawyer T. D D D D D V 1.7 1 -0.7
270 GOLDFINE Ian J. D D D V D D 3.2 1 -2.2
271 KIM Ian D D D D V D 1.2 1 -0.2
272 LEONE III Charles D. D D D D D V 2.1 1 -1.1
272 PARK Nicholas D V D D D D 1.7 1 -0.7
274 WATT Darren D D V D D D 1.9 1 -0.9
275 ELZAYN Hadi S. D V D D D D 1.9 1 -0.9
276 YAO Shun D D V D D D 1.6 1 -0.6
277 GLAZ Nicholas S. D D D D D 2.6 0 -2.6
278 HIGGINS Branford D D D D D D 2.0 0 -2.0
278 WANG Clayton D D D D D D 0.8 0 -0.8
278 LEE Chun Po D D D D D D 0.8 0 -0.8
281 HE Zhiheng D D D D D D 1.1 0 -1.1
282 XIAO Andrew D D D D D D 1.1 0 -1.1
283 MICKELSON Jacob P. D D D D D D 2.1 0 -2.1
284 DESTEFANO Julius D D D D D D 2.2 0 -2.2
284 CROSSMAN Brandon D D D D D D 0.9 0 -0.9
284 EVERS Gabriel D D D D D D 1.4 0 -1.4
287 TIERNEY Luke D D D D D D 0.8 0 -0.8
288 FANG Hanning D D D D D D 0.8 0 -0.8
289 LEE JiYuen D D D D D D 0.3 0 -0.3
290 DIVERIS Joseph D D D D D D 0.6 0 -0.6
291 WALTHER Bryan M. D D D D D D 1.2 0 -1.2

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%