Junior Olympic Championships

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, February 20, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 IMREK Samuel A. - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 28%
2 WU Joseph - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
3 GIBSON Nowell L. - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
3 JOSEPH William - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
5 IYOKI Kent - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
6 SHUR Yakov C. - 1% 7% 25% 37% 25% 6%
7 FRAY Alexander - - 1% 7% 28% 46% 18%
8 YUROVCHAK Andrew T. - - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
9 SHIV Rishi - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
10 GANA Jr Jorge M. - 1% 6% 24% 44% 26%
11 TOWNSEND Avery S. - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
12 BHATNAGAR Ayan - 2% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
13 LIU Alexander - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
14 SINGHA Orion - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
15 MUGA Boris - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
16 JIN Nicholas - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 16%
17 NORBUTAS Jackson S. - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
18 CHEN Eric - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 7%
19 HENSAL Nicolas A. - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 3%
20 GOHEL Dayus T. - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 34%
20 THAYER Bryce - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
22 RHYU Kozmo - - 2% 9% 26% 39% 23%
23 WANG DEVON - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
23 KROPP Jack - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
25 COLLYMORE Spencer T. - - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
26 LEE Daniel Y. - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
27 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 10%
28 RUSSANOV Dennis - - - 3% 16% 40% 41%
29 NORTH Alexander M. 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
30 DAO Matthew M. - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28%
31 IARIKOV Nicholas 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
32 CHIRASHNYA Adam 1% 10% 31% 38% 18% 3%
33 RICHARD Owen - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
34 WALSH Kevin - 1% 8% 33% 44% 14%
35 SIVAKUMAR Ajit - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
36 GYURE Brayden H. - 2% 11% 32% 40% 16%
37 SHAH S Ayush - - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
38 LEONE III Charles D. - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
39 LIN Kyran - 1% 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
40 VERMEULE Spencer - - - 2% 13% 42% 43%
41 EKE Frank - - 4% 19% 36% 30% 9%
42 HUSSAIN Kamran 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
43 JIN Owen - - 3% 15% 36% 36% 11%
44 DIECK Logan O. 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 5% 1%
45 ZAFFT Maximo S. - - - 4% 19% 43% 33%
46 WIMMER Nathaniel P. - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 4%
47 INSLER Ethan C. - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
48 GUI Runlin 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
49 LIOZNYANSKY Simon - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
50 MATTIS George - - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
51 JEYOON Ryan S. - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
52 KATS Dylan G. - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
53 BORATIN Daniel I. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
54 ODEN Isaac M. 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
55 LI Brian X - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
56 LIEF Isaac R. - 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
57 GAO Daniel - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
58 GATZA Logan - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
59 CARRIER Gabriel A. 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
60 GOHSMAN Maxwell 28% 53% 17% 2% - - -
61 MORSE Tyler 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 15% 3%
62 GLAZ Nicholas S. - 2% 14% 34% 34% 15% 2%
63 MURPHY Thomas P. 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
64 MICKO Fritz K. 1% 8% 27% 38% 21% 4%
65 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
66 SHARMA Sanil - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
67 JEONG Connor - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
68 GORIUNOV IVAN A. - - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
69 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 15%
70 LOWE-THORPE Tyler 1% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2%
71 SHUGART Henry R. - - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
72 ROBINSON Riley - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
73 SHAH Maximilian A. - 1% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
74 SMITH Nicholas S. - 1% 5% 18% 34% 32% 11%
75 MISHIMA Torata 1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 9% 1%
76 HILBERT Gabriel E. 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
77 LEE Ryan - - 1% 12% 42% 44%
78 HE Lawrence - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
79 EMARA Omar - 3% 13% 30% 33% 18% 3%
80 SEEFELDT William Henry C. 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
81 YOUNG Peyton E. - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 10%
81 LEE Shwan - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
83 LAI Coby 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
84 GOLDFINE Ian J. - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 14%
84 LI Patrick 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
86 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin 1% 6% 22% 38% 26% 7% 1%
87 CHOI Mason - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
88 GILLISON Edward L. 2% 13% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
89 LONCAR Luka E. - - 2% 11% 31% 41% 16%
89 GARRETT Samuel - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 3%
91 WEAVER Neil 3% 15% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
91 NOVOJILOV Alexei 1% 11% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
93 WONG Daniel - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
94 PAPAVASSILIOU Christos - 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2%
95 SENNEWALD James J. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
95 KOKENGE Reid - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8% 1%
97 PRASAD Ankith - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
98 LONGSHORE IZEYAH T. 3% 16% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
99 JAAFAR Omar 1% 10% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1%
100 GAO Chaney C. 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
100 ZHANG Alec 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
103 SKAALAND Will 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
104 KHANNA Nikhil 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
105 CHAWLA Armaan - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
106 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
107 SU Caleb - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 3%
108 GALLO James 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
109 STRAUSS Luke - 5% 22% 41% 26% 5%
110 SPIER Julian H. - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
111 CHOI Isaac - 3% 19% 43% 30% 6%
112 VAYSBUKH Konstantin - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
113 CHONG christopher - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
114 XU Zitong (Evan) - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 19%
115 JAIN Sarthak - 4% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
116 JEON Alexander E. - - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
117 WESTPHAL David R. - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
118 KOBI Samuel - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
119 DIXON Thomas 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
120 KUMAR Aidan 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
121 WIMMER Chandler M. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
122 O'DONNELL Benjamin - 18% 38% 31% 11% 2% -
123 SARKAR Anish 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% - -
123 SHEN Max 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% 1%
125 ZHU Max - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 5%
126 KIM Benjamin I. - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 9%
127 PINERO Jose J. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
128 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar - 2% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5%
129 CLICK Aiden - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
130 GUNDA Saketh 2% 19% 37% 29% 11% 2% -
131 MACARTY Jordan T. 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
132 NGUYEN Tate 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% -
133 GRAY Sterling B. - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
134 LEVITSKY Jonathan - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
135 KIM Juni C. - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
136 POPOVICI Maximilian P. - - 5% 19% 37% 31% 8%
137 TRIMMER Colin 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 8% 1%
138 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 5% 24% 38% 25% 8% 1% -
139 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA - 1% 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
140 DEKERMANJI Christopher 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
141 SLAVINSKIY Alan - - 1% 8% 26% 42% 23%
142 WATT Darren 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
143 WALKER IV Weymouth D. - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
144 BUYANOV Nikita V. 1% 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
145 KIM Tei D. - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1%
146 SENNEWALD Frederick A. - 4% 20% 38% 30% 7%
147 GRAYSON Shane W. - 4% 17% 35% 34% 11%
147 BORODITSKY Ethan - 2% 13% 36% 38% 12%
149 SANCHEZ Emanuel 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
150 HIGGINS Branford - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
151 BINDAS Odinn A. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
152 HERMANSON David B. 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
153 YAO Geoffrey B. 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
154 PHUKAN Rohin 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
155 JIN daniel 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 2%
156 SHCHUR Landon 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
157 MULCAHY Olaf - 14% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
158 PARKER Lane S. 5% 23% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
159 VEZMAR Evan H. - 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
160 CHU Allan 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
161 SOOHOO Jackson F. 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
162 KARKI Salyan 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
163 PARK Ian C. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
164 USHER Alexander - 4% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
164 MA Victor - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
164 ZHOU Justin 5% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
167 CROSSMAN Brandon 6% 27% 39% 22% 6% 1% -
168 KIM Dylan J. 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
169 JACKSON James 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
170 LO Jake 6% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
171 ROLLO Emmett H. 1% 16% 36% 32% 13% 2% -
172 CHRISTENSEN Parker 17% 46% 28% 7% 1% - -
173 GULLO Kenji Y. 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
174 PARK Brian 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% -
175 WU Jonathan 5% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
176 PARK Elliot 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 1%
177 LOGUE Ethan D. 2% 11% 28% 34% 19% 5% 1%
177 EVERS Gabriel 28% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
179 HARR Carver 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
180 XIAO Andrew 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
181 BRISLAWN Reilly R. - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
182 GUAN Nathan 2% 23% 40% 26% 8% 1% -
183 LAI Aedin 16% 40% 32% 11% 2% -
184 KANG Philip F. 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 10%
185 NESTEROV Andrew E. 3% 20% 45% 27% 6% -
186 KIM Darius H. 10% 32% 35% 18% 5% -
187 FU Leon 10% 33% 37% 16% 3% -
188 KIM Sterling S. 5% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1%
188 DIVERIS Joseph 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% -
190 WANG owen 16% 35% 31% 14% 4% - -
190 SONN Rohan 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
192 WU Byron - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
192 SARKAR agniv 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
194 PHAM Sawyer T. 1% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
195 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 6% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
196 MCKEEVER Luca - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
196 BEKKER Mitchel - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
196 BRUSKOTTER Reiland 3% 16% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
199 JAIN Aditya - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
200 CHUNG Thomas 1% 9% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1%
200 YANG Zeph 38% 41% 17% 3% - - -
202 ROSENBERG Jacob 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 1% -
202 ZHOU Gavin 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
204 JORDAN Anton 4% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
204 KIM Nathan 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
206 MCMANUS Farran - 3% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
207 WICKBOLDT Eric 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
208 NIKOLOV Peter 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
208 WOLFE Alex 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
210 ZHANG Nathan 32% 44% 20% 4% - - -
211 WILCOX Alexander 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
212 WANG David 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
213 ZAYDMAN David M. 1% 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% -
214 REZNICK Nicholas J. 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
215 TOPAZ Nicholas - 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% -
216 KOPPE Alexander 1% 12% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
216 BARNETT Devin 47% 40% 11% 2% - - -
218 VACCARO Dominick J. 29% 43% 23% 5% - -
219 PAHLAVI Kamran 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
220 FOLKERTS Paul 5% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
221 FORSYTHE Hunter 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
222 SHA Michael 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
223 MILLER Lance W. 7% 32% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
224 STEPHENS Corbin 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
225 WADE Grayson 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
226 TUMIBAY Noah C. 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
227 KNECHT PRANGE Patrick 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
228 LIU Andrew 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
229 TORRES Nicolas 12% 38% 35% 13% 2% -
230 PARK Frederick 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
231 PARKS Isaac 43% 42% 13% 2% - -
232 VALES Keyan 12% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
233 POZOVSKIY Mitchell R. 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
234 LEE Samuel Y. 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
235 LEE Chun Po 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
236 VRAPI Dorian A. 22% 41% 27% 9% 1% - -
237 OTTO Nathaniel B. 22% 41% 27% 9% 1% - -
238 DENNIS Ethan 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
239 PARKER Riley D. 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
240 YUMIACO Nolan C. - 1% 9% 25% 36% 24% 6%
240 AHN Gus - 2% 18% 37% 31% 11% 1%
240 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
243 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% 1%
244 ULINICH Alexander 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
245 AYABINA JR John 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
246 MENDOZA Zachari - 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
247 ZHOU Stanley Q. 1% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
248 ALVAREZ Ian T. 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
249 MCDONALD Ethan 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
249 GAO Zachary 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
251 SIMPSON Patrick - 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
251 NORTON Theo B. 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
251 EVANS noah 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
254 MING Nathan 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
255 SALEH Omar 73% 24% 3% - - - -
255 MOHAMED Ahmed 4% 19% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
257 DU SHUNYU K. 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
258 SUN James H. 41% 42% 14% 2% - -
259 MIEZIANKO Sebastian A. 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
259 TIRADO Giancarlo 48% 43% 9% 1% - - -
261 GARDEA Adam 10% 35% 36% 16% 3% - -
262 TIEN Jabin 16% 40% 32% 10% 1% -
263 WESTON Tom 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
263 SINHA Zaan 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
265 MODRUSAN Lukas 81% 18% 1% - - - -
266 SMITH Ian 21% 57% 20% 2% - -
267 MARIN Lucas 17% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
267 BEAVER Aaron 17% 42% 30% 10% 1% - -
267 STCLAIR Jake 13% 32% 32% 17% 5% 1% -
267 TOUSSAINT Semaj 75% 22% 3% - - - -
267 KOFF Theron 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
272 MODULLA Yathin 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
273 KHANNA Keshav 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
273 BOWDEN Ian 95% 5% - - - - -
273 BLACK Zachary 45% 41% 12% 2% - - -
276 RICHARDS Jackson D. 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
276 BUERGISSER Kai 54% 35% 9% 1% - - -
278 RAUCCI A. J. 10% 31% 35% 19% 4% -
279 STETSON Jahaan 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
280 MITTLER Frederick 74% 23% 3% - - - -
281 FERGUSON Jason 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.