Junior Olympic Championships

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, February 20, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 IMREK Samuel A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
2 WU Joseph 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
3 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
3 JOSEPH William 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
5 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 50%
6 SHUR Yakov C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
7 FRAY Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 18%
8 YUROVCHAK Andrew T. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
9 SHIV Rishi 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
10 GANA Jr Jorge M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 26%
11 TOWNSEND Avery S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
12 BHATNAGAR Ayan 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
13 LIU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
14 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
15 MUGA Boris 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
16 JIN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
17 NORBUTAS Jackson S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36%
18 CHEN Eric 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 7%
19 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 19% 3%
20 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
20 THAYER Bryce 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
22 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
23 WANG DEVON 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5%
23 KROPP Jack 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
25 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
26 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
27 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
28 RUSSANOV Dennis 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 41%
29 NORTH Alexander M. 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
30 DAO Matthew M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
31 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
32 CHIRASHNYA Adam 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
33 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
34 WALSH Kevin 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 14%
35 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
36 GYURE Brayden H. 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
37 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
38 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 35% 7%
39 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 12%
40 VERMEULE Spencer 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 43%
41 EKE Frank 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
42 HUSSAIN Kamran 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% -
43 JIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11%
44 DIECK Logan O. 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
45 ZAFFT Maximo S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
46 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
47 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
48 GUI Runlin 100% 99% 90% 67% 33% 9% 1%
49 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
50 MATTIS George 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 9%
51 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
52 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
53 BORATIN Daniel I. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
54 ODEN Isaac M. 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
55 LI Brian X 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
56 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 29% 6%
57 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
58 GATZA Logan 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
59 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% 1%
60 GOHSMAN Maxwell 100% 72% 19% 2% - - -
61 MORSE Tyler 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 18% 3%
62 GLAZ Nicholas S. 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
63 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
64 MICKO Fritz K. 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 4%
65 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
66 SHARMA Sanil 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
67 JEONG Connor 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
68 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
69 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
70 LOWE-THORPE Tyler 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2%
71 SHUGART Henry R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
72 ROBINSON Riley 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
73 SHAH Maximilian A. 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 3%
74 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
75 MISHIMA Torata 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
76 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 99% 88% 58% 25% 5% -
77 LEE Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 44%
78 HE Lawrence 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 17% 2%
79 EMARA Omar 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
80 SEEFELDT William Henry C. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
81 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
81 LEE Shwan 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
83 LAI Coby 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
84 GOLDFINE Ian J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 48% 14%
84 LI Patrick 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 17% 3%
86 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 7% 1%
87 CHOI Mason 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
88 GILLISON Edward L. 100% 98% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
89 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 16%
89 GARRETT Samuel 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 19% 3%
91 WEAVER Neil 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
91 NOVOJILOV Alexei 100% 99% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
93 WONG Daniel 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
94 PAPAVASSILIOU Christos 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
95 SENNEWALD James J. 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
95 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% 1%
97 PRASAD Ankith 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
98 LONGSHORE IZEYAH T. 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
99 JAAFAR Omar 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 7% 1%
100 GAO Chaney C. 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
100 ZHANG Alec 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
103 SKAALAND Will 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
104 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
105 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
106 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 4%
107 SU Caleb 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 3%
108 GALLO James 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
109 STRAUSS Luke 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 5%
110 SPIER Julian H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
111 CHOI Isaac 100% 100% 97% 79% 35% 6%
112 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
113 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
114 XU Zitong (Evan) 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
115 JAIN Sarthak 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
116 JEON Alexander E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
117 WESTPHAL David R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
118 KOBI Samuel 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
119 DIXON Thomas 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
120 KUMAR Aidan 100% 90% 60% 24% 6% 1% -
121 WIMMER Chandler M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
122 O'DONNELL Benjamin 100% 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
123 SARKAR Anish 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
123 SHEN Max 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% 1%
125 ZHU Max 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 29% 5%
126 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
127 PINERO Jose J. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
128 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
129 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
130 GUNDA Saketh 100% 98% 79% 42% 13% 2% -
131 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
132 NGUYEN Tate 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
133 GRAY Sterling B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
134 LEVITSKY Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
135 KIM Juni C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 20%
136 POPOVICI Maximilian P. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
137 TRIMMER Colin 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 9% 1%
138 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
139 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
140 DEKERMANJI Christopher 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
141 SLAVINSKIY Alan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
142 WATT Darren 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
143 WALKER IV Weymouth D. 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
144 BUYANOV Nikita V. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
145 KIM Tei D. 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
146 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 7%
147 GRAYSON Shane W. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
147 BORODITSKY Ethan 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
149 SANCHEZ Emanuel 100% 79% 37% 8% 1% -
150 HIGGINS Branford 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
151 BINDAS Odinn A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
152 HERMANSON David B. 100% 99% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1%
153 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
154 PHUKAN Rohin 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
155 JIN daniel 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 2%
156 SHCHUR Landon 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
157 MULCAHY Olaf 100% 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
158 PARKER Lane S. 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
159 VEZMAR Evan H. 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
160 CHU Allan 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 12% 1%
161 SOOHOO Jackson F. 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
162 KARKI Salyan 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
163 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
164 USHER Alexander 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
164 MA Victor 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
164 ZHOU Justin 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
167 CROSSMAN Brandon 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
168 KIM Dylan J. 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 10% 1%
169 JACKSON James 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
170 LO Jake 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
171 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 99% 83% 47% 16% 3% -
172 CHRISTENSEN Parker 100% 83% 36% 8% 1% - -
173 GULLO Kenji Y. 100% 97% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
174 PARK Brian 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% -
175 WU Jonathan 100% 95% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
176 PARK Elliot 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 1%
177 LOGUE Ethan D. 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% 1%
177 EVERS Gabriel 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
179 HARR Carver 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
180 XIAO Andrew 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
181 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
182 GUAN Nathan 100% 98% 75% 35% 9% 1% -
183 LAI Aedin 100% 84% 44% 12% 2% -
184 KANG Philip F. 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
185 NESTEROV Andrew E. 100% 97% 78% 33% 6% -
186 KIM Darius H. 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% -
187 FU Leon 100% 90% 57% 19% 3% -
188 KIM Sterling S. 100% 95% 73% 34% 8% 1%
188 DIVERIS Joseph 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
190 WANG owen 100% 84% 50% 18% 4% - -
190 SONN Rohan 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
192 WU Byron 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
192 SARKAR agniv 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
194 PHAM Sawyer T. 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
195 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
196 MCKEEVER Luca 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
196 BEKKER Mitchel 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
196 BRUSKOTTER Reiland 100% 97% 82% 50% 20% 4% -
199 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
200 CHUNG Thomas 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
200 YANG Zeph 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
202 ROSENBERG Jacob 100% 94% 69% 35% 10% 1% -
202 ZHOU Gavin 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
204 JORDAN Anton 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
204 KIM Nathan 100% 95% 74% 39% 13% 2% -
206 MCMANUS Farran 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
207 WICKBOLDT Eric 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
208 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
208 WOLFE Alex 100% 95% 72% 36% 11% 2% -
210 ZHANG Nathan 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
211 WILCOX Alexander 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
212 WANG David 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
213 ZAYDMAN David M. 100% 99% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
214 REZNICK Nicholas J. 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
215 TOPAZ Nicholas 100% 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% -
216 KOPPE Alexander 100% 99% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
216 BARNETT Devin 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -
218 VACCARO Dominick J. 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% -
219 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
220 FOLKERTS Paul 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
221 FORSYTHE Hunter 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
222 SHA Michael 100% 82% 42% 13% 2% - -
223 MILLER Lance W. 100% 93% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
224 STEPHENS Corbin 100% 75% 31% 6% 1% - -
225 WADE Grayson 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
226 TUMIBAY Noah C. 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% 1%
227 KNECHT PRANGE Patrick 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
228 LIU Andrew 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
229 TORRES Nicolas 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% -
230 PARK Frederick 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
231 PARKS Isaac 100% 57% 15% 2% - -
232 VALES Keyan 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
233 POZOVSKIY Mitchell R. 100% 99% 90% 60% 25% 5% -
234 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
235 LEE Chun Po 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
236 VRAPI Dorian A. 100% 78% 38% 10% 2% - -
237 OTTO Nathaniel B. 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
238 DENNIS Ethan 100% 90% 56% 20% 3% -
239 PARKER Riley D. 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
240 YUMIACO Nolan C. 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 6%
240 AHN Gus 100% 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 1%
240 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
243 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 6% 1%
244 ULINICH Alexander 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
245 AYABINA JR John 100% 56% 16% 3% - - -
246 MENDOZA Zachari 100% 100% 92% 64% 26% 6% -
247 ZHOU Stanley Q. 100% 99% 81% 45% 15% 2% -
248 ALVAREZ Ian T. 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
249 MCDONALD Ethan 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
249 GAO Zachary 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
251 SIMPSON Patrick 100% 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
251 NORTON Theo B. 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
251 EVANS noah 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
254 MING Nathan 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% - -
255 SALEH Omar 100% 27% 3% - - - -
255 MOHAMED Ahmed 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
257 DU SHUNYU K. 100% 67% 26% 5% 1% - -
258 SUN James H. 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
259 MIEZIANKO Sebastian A. 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
259 TIRADO Giancarlo 100% 52% 9% 1% - - -
261 GARDEA Adam 100% 90% 55% 19% 4% - -
262 TIEN Jabin 100% 84% 43% 11% 1% -
263 WESTON Tom 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
263 SINHA Zaan 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
265 MODRUSAN Lukas 100% 19% 1% - - - -
266 SMITH Ian 100% 79% 22% 2% - -
267 MARIN Lucas 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
267 BEAVER Aaron 100% 83% 41% 11% 2% - -
267 STCLAIR Jake 100% 87% 54% 22% 5% 1% -
267 TOUSSAINT Semaj 100% 25% 3% - - - -
267 KOFF Theron 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
272 MODULLA Yathin 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
273 KHANNA Keshav 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
273 BOWDEN Ian 100% 5% - - - - -
273 BLACK Zachary 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
276 RICHARDS Jackson D. 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
276 BUERGISSER Kai 100% 46% 11% 1% - - -
278 RAUCCI A. J. 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
279 STETSON Jahaan 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
280 MITTLER Frederick 100% 26% 3% - - - -
281 FERGUSON Jason 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.