January NAC

Junior Men's Épée

Monday, January 9, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Louisville, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 IMREK Samuel A. - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
2 LAWSON Henry A. - - - - 5% 29% 66%
3 MOOSEKIAN Stafford - - 5% 22% 42% 29%
3 RONG Yao - - 2% 14% 45% 40%
5 CHONG christopher - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
6 BORODITSKY Ethan - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
7 FEINBERG Gabriel M. - - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
8 YOUNG Peyton E. - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
9 LIVERANT Skyler J. - - - - 5% 30% 65%
10 FRAY Alexander - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
11 LIPPMAN Eli - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
12 PARK Ian C. - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
13 XIAO Leon (Ruibo) - - 2% 12% 33% 37% 15%
14 SINGHA Orion - 4% 20% 39% 30% 7%
15 KANG Philip F. - 1% 6% 27% 41% 22% 4%
16 MURPHY Thomas P. - 2% 13% 30% 35% 18% 3%
17 GORNOVSKY David J. - - - - 5% 31% 63%
18 LEE Daniel Y. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 20%
18 BEZRODNOV Alexander - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 17%
20 SENNEWALD James J. - 4% 21% 39% 29% 7%
21 MAZUR Daniil - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
22 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
23 BEKKER Mitchel - 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 5%
24 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
25 VAYSBUKH Konstantin - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
26 SILVERS Noah E. - - - 3% 16% 40% 40%
27 CANDELA Nicholas - - - 1% 10% 38% 51%
28 MORSE Tyler 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
29 KIM Byung 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
30 SENNEWALD Frederick A. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 17% 3%
31 ZHAO Luhan 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
32 GORIUNOV IVAN A. - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 5%
33 IYOKI Kent - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
34 ZAFFT Maximo S. - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
35 TOWNSEND Avery S. - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 29%
36 ZHANG Nicholas Z. - - - 3% 20% 45% 32%
37 STRAUSS Luke 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
38 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. - - 5% 20% 38% 29% 7%
39 HUGHES Levi H. - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
40 KIM Dylan J. 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
41 SHIV Rishi - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 9%
41 UKOLOV Dimitri - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
43 SIVAKUMAR Ajit - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
44 KOBI Samuel 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
45 LIU Alexander - - 4% 23% 48% 24%
46 GOLDFINE Ian J. - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
47 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
48 MA Ark - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
49 GANA Jr Jorge M. - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
50 JEONG Connor - - 1% 9% 31% 42% 17%
51 CLICK Aiden - 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
52 BEZRODNOV Michael - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
53 ZHANG Caden 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
54 JEYOON Ryan S. - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 4%
55 WEISS Miles J. - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
56 PRASAD Ankith - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
57 GAO Daniel - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 3%
58 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 3% 16% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
59 GARRETT Samuel - 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
60 MCALISTER Ian 2% 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
61 KROPP Jack 1% 5% 21% 37% 28% 7%
61 NGUYEN Tate 2% 25% 41% 25% 7% 1%
63 DESTEFANO Julius - 3% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1%
64 LI Brian X - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
65 GIBSON Nowell L. - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
65 SHAH S Ayush - - - 3% 14% 40% 43%
67 KUSHNERIK Ethan - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
68 SU Caleb - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 4%
69 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
70 HENSAL Nicolas A. 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 10%
71 JOSEPH William 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
72 LIOZNYANSKY Simon - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
73 LI Patrick 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
74 LEE Shwan - - 4% 19% 38% 32% 6%
74 GYURE Brayden H. - 2% 14% 38% 34% 11% 1%
76 VERMEULE Spencer - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 22%
77 HILBERT Gabriel E. - 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
78 DEKERMANJI Christopher - 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1%
79 MOSES Alexander - 1% 6% 26% 44% 24%
80 ZHENG Haoran - 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
81 CHOI Mason 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
82 KOKENGE Reid 1% 6% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
83 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 2% 15% 36% 32% 13% 2% -
84 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
84 LIN Kyran - 1% 9% 27% 39% 22% 3%
86 CHO Tyler H. - - 4% 17% 37% 35% 8%
87 JEON Alexander E. - - 5% 24% 39% 26% 6%
87 CHIRASHNYA Adam 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
89 LEE Samuel Y. - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
89 FU Leon 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
91 SONN Rohan 5% 29% 39% 22% 6% 1% -
92 KATS Dylan G. - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
93 WU Jonathan 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
94 SHCHUR Landon 1% 11% 34% 37% 15% 2%
95 MACARTY Jordan T. 2% 15% 36% 35% 11% 1%
96 BHATNAGAR Ayan - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
97 WOLFE Alex 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
98 NORTH Alexander M. 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
99 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
100 ROLLO Emmett H. 3% 21% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
101 KIM Nathan 2% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
102 MCKEEVER Luca - 2% 11% 28% 37% 20% 2%
103 KOPPE Alexander 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
104 MICKO Fritz K. - 3% 15% 32% 34% 15% 1%
105 WANG DEVON - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
106 GAO Chaney C. 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
107 SMITH Nicholas S. - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
108 LU Ivan 1% 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% -
109 PHUKAN Rohin 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
110 GOHEL Dayus T. - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
110 MODULLA Yathin R. 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% -
112 DISIMONE David Z. 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
113 VISURAKAPALLI Sathvik 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 4%
114 TOUSSAINT Semaj 35% 43% 18% 3% - -
115 INSLER Ethan C. - - 4% 21% 38% 29% 8%
116 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. - 4% 17% 32% 31% 13% 2%
117 KUMAR Aidan 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
118 MANAUGH Guy 4% 37% 39% 16% 3% - -
119 GALLANT Antoine - 3% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
120 LIU Kyle - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
120 WU Joseph - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
122 CHUNG Joshua 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
123 DIECK Logan O. - 1% 11% 29% 36% 19% 4%
124 IMREK Elijah S. 1% 10% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1%
124 RICHARDS Jackson D. 7% 28% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
124 KRZYSIAK David F. 6% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
127 DIXON Thomas 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
128 ARAVIND Athreya 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% -
129 KIM Donghyeok - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
130 JACKSON James 2% 13% 31% 33% 16% 3% -
131 ZAYDMAN David M. 1% 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% -
132 LEE Seungwon - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
133 WANG Bryan 10% 34% 38% 15% 3% - -
134 HEIM Bryce - 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
135 RAJ Shrey 3% 34% 41% 18% 4% - -
136 ZHAO Corey - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
137 LO Jake 3% 16% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
138 JIN Daniel - 6% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1%
139 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 14% 52% 27% 6% 1% - -
140 KARNAS Karol 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
141 DENNIS Ethan 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1%
142 LIEF Isaac R. - 5% 23% 39% 27% 6%
143 NIKOLOV Peter 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
144 PRIHODKO Max 2% 16% 38% 32% 11% 1%
145 SCHULZE Ethan 2% 17% 38% 32% 10% 1%
146 KIM Sullivan 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
147 EMARA Omar 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
148 RHYU Kozmo - - 5% 23% 45% 26%
149 IARIKOV Nicholas 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
150 TREBON Hayden 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
151 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. - 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 2%
152 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 23%
153 CUI Oscar (Bo Lang) 1% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3% -
154 HUSSAIN Kamran 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% 1%
155 CHOI San 26% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
156 CHAWLA Armaan 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
157 TIKHONOV Iliya 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
158 BRISLAWN Reilly R. - 1% 10% 28% 38% 20% 3%
158 MATTIS George 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
160 AGARWAL Adheesh 55% 35% 9% 1% - - -
161 WIMMER Nathaniel P. - 1% 8% 25% 39% 24% 3%
162 MUGA Boris - 4% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1%
163 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
164 GAO Zachary 21% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
165 YAO Geoffrey B. - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
166 LEONE III Charles D. 2% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2%
167 MENDOZA Zachari 5% 29% 40% 22% 5% -
168 PHAM Sawyer T. 12% 35% 35% 16% 3% -
168 KOZAKIEWICZ Filip - 8% 28% 39% 21% 3%
170 JIN Nicholas 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
171 O'DONNELL Benjamin 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% -
172 GOHSMAN Maxwell 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
173 LEHR William D. 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
174 O'HARA Keegan J. - 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
175 KIM Benjamin I. 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
175 OSTIGUY Cameron 13% 35% 34% 14% 3% - -
177 CAO Albert 4% 20% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
178 JIN Owen - 2% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3%
179 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
179 PAVLENISHVILI David G. - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
181 LI Benjamin 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
182 WATT Darren 1% 15% 39% 32% 11% 2% -
182 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 41% 41% 15% 2% - - -
184 LOWE-THORPE Tyler 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4% -
185 MING Nathan 28% 41% 23% 7% 1% - -
186 MURRAY-GRAMLICH Robert 24% 44% 26% 6% 1% - -
187 EVERS Gabriel 28% 41% 23% 7% 1% - -
188 TRIMMER Colin 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
189 SLOUGH Sean 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
190 HE Lawrence - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
191 KIM Sterling S. 9% 34% 38% 16% 2% -
192 PARK Nicholas 5% 31% 41% 20% 4% -
193 KNOX James 1% 15% 37% 33% 12% 2%
194 CAO Brad 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
195 LEE Chun Po 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% -
196 YANAMANDRA Sidhansh 65% 30% 5% - - -
197 PERSAUD Daivik 15% 36% 32% 13% 3% -
198 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 75% 23% 3% - - -
199 HUTTO Joshua 9% 33% 37% 18% 4% - -
200 TORRES Gianni 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
200 POS Theo 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
202 WANG owen 10% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
202 HARR Carver 20% 44% 28% 7% 1% - -
204 ADLER Ethan M. - 6% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
204 BOUMEDIENNE Sami - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 3%
206 ZENG Zihan 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
207 KHANNA Nikhil 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
208 WEI HUNTER 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
209 SHA Michael 15% 40% 34% 10% 1% - -
209 FUSSMAN Yuval 40% 42% 15% 3% - - -
211 BUYANOV Nikita V. - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
211 YANG Zeph 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
213 HE Zhiheng 21% 38% 28% 10% 2% - -
213 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 8% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
215 SAKO Ayrton J. 22% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
216 SPINA Joseph B. 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
217 DAVIS Jonah 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
217 LACROIX Floryan 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
219 BERNARD Jack B. 34% 44% 18% 3% - - -
220 CHRISTENSEN Parker 23% 44% 27% 6% 1% - -
221 CROSSMAN Brandon 15% 41% 34% 9% 1% - -
222 LIN Kason 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
223 CHU Allan 14% 34% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
224 MAHESH Tarun 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
225 RICHARD Owen 2% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
226 NEAL John P. 2% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
227 SCHARF Ryan 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
228 SUN James H. 32% 42% 21% 5% - - -
229 WANG Maxwell L. 1% 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
230 VAUGHN Matthew (Manny) E. 29% 42% 23% 5% 1% -
230 HONG Ryan 61% 32% 6% 1% - -
232 MARTINEZ Joshua 23% 45% 27% 5% - - -
233 VALES Keyan 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
233 GALLO James 6% 29% 41% 20% 3% -
235 BRADFORD Ethan 67% 30% 3% - - - -
236 MARIN Lucas 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
237 CHOI David 82% 17% 1% - - - -
238 MILLER Lance W. 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
238 MCCORD Jack 83% 16% 1% - - - -
240 PRAKASH Hari 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
241 WANG Elliott 85% 14% 1% - - - -
242 DIVERIS Joseph 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.