Division 1 Championships/April NAC

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, April 23, 2023 at 8:00 AM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 IMREK Samuel A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
2 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
3 BHATNAGAR Ayan 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
3 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
5 SENNEWALD James J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
6 MAZUR Daniil 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
7 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
8 FU Leon 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
9 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
10 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 24%
11 GANA Jr Jorge M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
12 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 9%
13 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
14 PRASAD Ankith 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
15 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 4%
16 MUGA Boris 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
17 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
18 SHIV Rishi 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
19 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
20 GOLDFINE Ian J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
21 JOVANOVIC Jovan 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
22 SINGHA Orion 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
23 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
24 LU Ivan 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 2%
25 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
26 JEON Alexander E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 51% 16%
26 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 20% 2%
28 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
29 VERMEULE Spencer 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
30 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 6%
32 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 9% 1%
33 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 32%
34 LIU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
35 NEAL John P. 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
35 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
37 SILVERS Noah E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
38 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
39 JIN Owen 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
40 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 11%
40 NORTH Alexander M. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
42 NGUYEN Tate 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
43 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
44 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
45 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 11% 1%
46 BORODITSKY Ethan 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 5%
47 LO Jake 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
48 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
49 LEE Shwan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
50 CHRISTENSEN Parker 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
51 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
52 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
53 BOUMEDIENNE Sami 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
54 LI Chenyu 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
55 TOWNSEND Avery S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
56 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 5% -
57 CHOI Mason 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 3%
58 WU Joseph 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
59 LEE Seungwon 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 7%
60 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 2%
61 MATTIS George 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
62 ZHOU Stanley Q. 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
63 IVAKIMOV Vasil 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
64 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
65 HUTTO Joshua 100% 98% 87% 57% 24% 5% < 1%
66 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
67 FRAY Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
68 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
69 KIM Juni C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
70 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 16% 1%
70 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
72 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
73 STRAUSS Luke 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 2%
74 LAI Aedin 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
75 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
76 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 16% 2%
77 EVERS Gabriel 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
78 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
79 GARRETT Samuel 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
80 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 9%
80 LIN Harrison 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
82 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 6%
83 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
84 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
85 DIECK Logan O. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
86 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
87 WANG DEVON 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
88 JIN Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
89 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 2%
90 KANG Philip F. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
91 HUANG Thomas 100% 100% 95% 76% 44% 15% 2%
92 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
92 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
94 PARK Frederick 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
95 MCKEEVER Luca 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 2%
96 CAO Albert 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 7% 1%
97 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 10%
98 LIN Kyran 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7%
99 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
100 SILVERS Ari 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
101 LI Benjamin 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
102 KNOX James 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
103 KIM Nathan 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
104 MAO Benjamin 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
105 PHUKAN Rohin 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 4% -
106 GAO Chaney C. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
107 MCMANUS Farran 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
108 YANG Boyan 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
109 RICHARDS Jackson D. 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 4% -
110 WU Byron 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 4%
111 SHAH Maximilian A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
112 SHCHUR Landon 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1%
113 KOZAKIEWICZ Filip 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 2%
114 O'DONNELL Benjamin 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% -
115 KROPP Jack 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 8%
116 HE Lawrence 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 5%
117 KARNAS Karol 100% 96% 74% 33% 7% -
118 KUMAR Aidan 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 7% 1%
119 ODEN Isaac M. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 7% 1%
120 MORSE Tyler 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 3%
121 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
122 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 100% 96% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
123 LOISEAU Eliott 100% 94% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
124 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
125 SCHULZE Ethan 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
126 BASOK Nikita 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
127 SANCHEZ Emanuel 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
128 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 82% 39% 10% 1% -
129 BUYANOV Nikita V. 100% 99% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
130 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
131 YU Hunter 100% 97% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
132 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 24%
133 MICKO Fritz K. 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
134 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 99% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
135 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
136 AGAON Shawn 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
137 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
138 PARK Nicholas 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
139 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 11%
140 MCALISTER Ian 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
140 LIU Henry 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
142 SHA Michael 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
143 GAO Zachary 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
144 DIXON Thomas 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
145 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
145 LEE Noah 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
147 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
148 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
149 CHOI San 100% 71% 27% 5% - -
150 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
151 GATZA Logan 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
152 WANG owen 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% -
153 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% -
154 KIM Sullivan 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% -
155 POS Theo 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
156 AGAON Ethan 100% 92% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
157 ZHAO Corey 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
158 KRISHNAN Skanda 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
159 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
160 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
160 GOHSMAN Maxwell 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% - -
162 HERNANDEZ Cole F. 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
162 MCDOWELL Will 100% 63% 18% 2% - - -
164 VEZMAR Evan H. 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
165 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
166 MCADOO Declan 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
167 KOBI Samuel 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
167 LEE JoonWon 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 3% -
169 CHIRASHNYA Adam 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2% -
169 JACKSON James 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
171 ARKHIPOV Peter 100% 90% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
172 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 96% 76% 39% 12% 2% -
172 MUGA Aiden 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
174 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
175 KNECHT PRANGE Patrick 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
176 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
177 CAO Brad 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% -
178 KIM Tei D. 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
179 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% -
179 HE Zhiheng 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% -
181 CHU Allan 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
182 VACCARO Dominick J. 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
183 HUSSAIN Kamran 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 6% -
184 KRZYSIAK David F. 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
185 ZHANG Alec 100% 95% 71% 32% 8% 1% -
186 PAK Elliot 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
187 DENNIS Ethan 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
188 MILLER Lance W. 100% 92% 61% 22% 4% - -
189 JORDAN Anton 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
189 TIEN Jabin 100% 82% 37% 9% 1% - -
191 OSTIGUY Cameron 100% 82% 44% 14% 3% - -
192 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
193 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
193 CHAKRABORTY Zorian 100% 35% 6% - - - -
195 EMDEN André 100% 98% 83% 52% 21% 5% -
196 YUE Xinyi 100% 84% 48% 17% 4% - -
197 SHAFRITZ Noah 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
197 RITTERBUSCH Timothy 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -
199 CHEN Eric 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
200 DAVIS Jonah 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
201 PRAKASH Hari 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
201 JU Hanul 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
203 FU Jason 100% 93% 64% 25% 5% - -
204 DIETZ Gellert 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
205 NALBANDIAN VAHAN P. 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
206 PHAM Sawyer T. 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
207 WESTON Tom 100% 92% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
207 FUSSMAN Yuval 100% 66% 24% 5% 1% - -
209 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 60% 20% 4% - - -
209 ALI Farhan 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
211 MING Nathan 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
212 GRAYSON Joshua 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
213 SURESH NEERAJ 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
213 EMMERT JP 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
215 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 56% 17% 3% - - -
215 HU Robert J. 100% 76% 28% 5% 1% - -
217 RICHARDSON Ray 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.