January NAC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, January 6, 2024 at 10:30 AM

San Jose McEnery Convention Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SILVERS Noah E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
2 LIU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
3 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
3 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
5 SENNEWALD James J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 67% 23%
6 GANA Jr Jorge M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
7 WONG Chi Ho 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 31% 5%
8 MUGA Boris 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
9 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
10 LAWSON Henry A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 56%
11 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
12 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
13 SHAN Junzhe 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 2%
14 GOLDFINE Ian J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 17%
14 GARRETT Samuel 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 15%
16 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
17 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
18 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 38%
19 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
20 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37%
21 TOWNSEND Avery S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
22 KANG Philip F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
23 YUE Hongrui 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 5%
24 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
25 SHARMA Sanil 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 11%
26 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36%
27 EMARA Omar 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
27 JIN Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
29 LO Jake 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 16%
30 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13%
31 SEEFELDT William Henry C. 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 15% 1%
32 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 14%
33 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
34 KROPP Jack 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
35 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
36 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 2%
37 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 12%
38 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
39 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
40 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 20%
40 FU Leon 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
42 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
43 NORTH Alexander M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 7%
44 ARKHIPOV Peter 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 11% 1%
45 ZHAO Corey 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 6%
46 SHUR Yakov C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 14%
47 LOGUE Ethan D. 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
48 NGUYEN Tate 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
49 FAN Jackson 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% -
50 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
50 JIANG ryan 100% 99% 87% 54% 20% 3% -
52 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32%
53 SU Caleb 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
54 YU Hunter 100% 100% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
55 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 18%
56 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 2%
57 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
58 HUTTO Joshua 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28% 4%
59 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 92% 65% 26% 5% -
60 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
61 JONES Caleb 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
62 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 9%
63 DHAL Leon 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
64 CASTELLY Luke 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 7% 1%
65 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
66 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
67 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
68 JEON Alexander E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
69 LAI Boden 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 6%
70 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
71 MANN JAKEROD 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
72 LEE JoonWon 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
73 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 31%
73 LACROIX Floryan 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
75 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
76 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
77 WEI HUNTER 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
78 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5%
79 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
80 CAO Albert 100% 100% 98% 85% 48% 12%
81 LIU Andrew 100% 99% 90% 59% 20% 2%
82 KNOX James 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
83 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 10%
84 MISHIMA Torata 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
85 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
85 KIM Byung 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
87 ZHANG Caden 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
88 GREEN Jabreel 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
89 MULCAHY Olaf 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
90 DOWDELL Riley 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 9% 1%
91 SEO Shawn 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4% -
92 RUBIN Daniel 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
93 JIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
93 KIM Ian 100% 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
95 VERMEULE Spencer 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32%
96 MCCOWN Ronan 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
97 DEKERMANJI Christopher 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 3%
98 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 23%
99 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
100 HIGGINS Branford 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 6%
101 LEE Bryson 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
102 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 4%
103 HE Zhiheng 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
104 PETERSON Matthew 100% 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
105 STRAUSS Luke 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
106 LAI Aedin 100% 99% 85% 44% 7%
106 LIU Yikun 100% 98% 81% 42% 11% 1%
108 ZAYDMAN David M. 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 14%
109 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 10%
110 FRAY Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32%
111 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
112 HEADRICK Lance 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
113 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
114 CHOI Zachary 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3% -
115 GALLO James 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 29% 4%
116 RICHARDS Jackson D. 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 4% -
117 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 2%
118 JAIN Samyak 100% 93% 56% 17% 3% - -
119 KWOUN Miles S. 100% 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% 1%
120 ZI QIN Shang 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 8% 1%
121 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
122 CROSSMAN Brandon 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% -
123 WRIGHT Christopher 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 8%
124 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
124 SHA Michael 100% 98% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
126 GAO Zachary 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
127 LEE Noah 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 9%
128 ZHUANG William 100% 99% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
129 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
130 ZHAO Luhan 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 10%
131 LEE Stewart S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 17%
132 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 21%
133 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
134 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
135 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
136 WANG zhixing (Daniel) 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 15% 2%
137 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
138 PARK Frederick 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 10%
139 LEE DoWon 100% 84% 42% 11% 1% - -
140 ARAVIND Athreya 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19% 2%
141 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
142 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 15%
143 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
144 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
145 HU Robert J. 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
146 LEE Shwan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
147 O'DONNELL Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18% 2%
148 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
149 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
150 CHRISTENSEN Parker 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 9% 1%
151 MCDONALD Ethan 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
152 GULLO Kenji Y. 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
153 GALLANT Antoine 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
154 LU Ivan 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
155 WANG Kevin de-tai 100% 100% 98% 80% 41% 10% 1%
156 MENDOZA Zachari 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
157 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
159 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 100% 95% 69% 25% 2%
160 WANG owen 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
161 ODEN Isaac M. 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
162 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
163 SANCHEZ Emanuel 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 11% 1%
163 OBERDERFER Vladimir 100% 99% 80% 36% 8% 1% -
165 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
166 SUN Jason 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
167 PARK Nicholas 100% 100% 92% 63% 25% 4% -
168 ESKRIDGE Caleb 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% 1%
168 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
170 ZHANG Alec 100% 99% 89% 51% 16% 2% -
171 MCDOWELL Will 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
172 DIECK Logan O. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
172 ZHOU Stanley Q. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7%
174 TIEN Jabin 100% 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% -
175 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
176 PAK Elliot 100% 100% 91% 61% 23% 4% -
177 CHU Allan 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
177 ZHANG ethan 100% 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% -
179 SERAFIN Ben 100% 99% 92% 63% 23% 3% -
180 WONG Baron 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% - -
181 SARKAR agniv 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
182 GAO Chaney C. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
182 XIE Steven 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
184 YANG haoxuan 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
185 BAZHENOV Anthony 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
186 MIAO Quentin 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2% -
187 MILLER Lance W. 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
188 BEAVER Aaron 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
189 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 86% 48% 14% 2%
190 CHEN Bailey 100% 97% 76% 35% 7% 1% -
191 HERNANDEZ Cole F. 100% 94% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
192 SODHI Jaco 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
193 WONG KEVIN 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
194 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
195 CARDENAS Lucas 100% 96% 72% 33% 7% 1%
196 ZHAO Zidong 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
197 BHATNAGAR Ayan 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
198 CHAKRABORTY Zorian 100% 76% 28% 5% - -
199 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
200 DONDISCH ilan 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
201 ZHU Eric 100% 99% 80% 41% 11% 1% -
202 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
203 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 95% 65% 24% 4% - -
203 SURESH NEERAJ 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
203 WONG King-Yee 100% 97% 65% 23% 4% - -
206 XU Wangzitai 100% 65% 20% 3% - - -
207 GETSIN Anthony 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
208 MING Nathan 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
208 SIM Ian 100% 62% 18% 3% - - -
210 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 99% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
211 SARKAR Anish 100% 99% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1%
212 THAKUR Om S. 100% 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1%
212 ANDERSON Kai 100% 92% 57% 18% 3% - -
214 EMMERT JP 100% 96% 53% 14% 2% - -
215 SUN Jeffery 100% 97% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
216 VEZMAR Evan H. 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 1%
216 SHCHUR Landon 100% 99% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
218 LIPPMAN Jake 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
218 SINGH Rowan 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
220 MCADOO Declan 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
221 ALVAREZ Ian T. 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
221 CURTY Jack 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
223 JU Hanul 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
224 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2% -
225 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 95% 54% 16% 2% - -
226 SCHIEK Harrison 100% 97% 74% 34% 8% 1% -
226 CHANG Andrew 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% - -
228 KIM Jayden 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
228 PERALTA Christian 100% 76% 30% 5% - - -
230 WONG Preston 100% 69% 24% 4% - - -
231 LAI Alexander 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
232 LIU Noah 100% 86% 47% 13% 2% -
233 LOMIO Nicholas A. 100% 72% 27% 5% - -
234 LIU Yueri 100% 77% 32% 7% 1% -
235 CAO Brad 100% 96% 75% 40% 11% 1%
236 XIE Brandon 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
237 STAFFORD Bryan 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
238 DU SHUNYU K. 100% 98% 83% 42% 11% 1%
239 GENCHEV Madav 100% 61% 18% 2% -
240 JACKSON James 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
241 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
242 MUGA Aiden 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
243 ZHAO Jonathan 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 4% -
243 NG Biwon 100% 77% 26% 4% - - -
245 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
245 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 100% 93% 61% 21% 4% - -
247 SINHA Zaan 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2% -
247 WU Alistair 100% 94% 55% 17% 3% - -
249 WATT Darren 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 24% 4%
249 MEN Junda 100% 90% 50% 15% 2% - -
251 KIM Taeho 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
252 HALL Gabriel 100% 62% 18% 3% - - -
253 CHENG Trevor 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
254 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 97% 76% 37% 8% 1% -
255 PIVOVAROV Lucas 100% 86% 44% 11% 1% - -
256 DANIELS Jonah 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
257 TANG William 100% 86% 49% 17% 3% - -
258 VANOYEN Dominick 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
259 DAO Alexander 100% 98% 84% 48% 13% 1% -
259 LI Ethan R. 100% 92% 58% 16% 2% - -
261 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
262 TONG Samuel 100% 92% 58% 21% 4% - -
262 YUEN Nathan 100% 98% 77% 39% 11% 1% -
264 SHIN Ryan 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
265 GU Aidan 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
266 HE Lingyun Matthew 100% 77% 30% 6% 1% - -
267 REPIC Oliver 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% - -
268 CHOI San 100% 84% 43% 12% 2% - -
268 ROBINSON Samuel 100% 98% 60% 17% 2% - -
270 WONG Ethan 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
271 GADBURY Logan 100% 9% - - - - -
272 YOUNG Quentin 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
273 LEVENTAL Mark 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
274 PETERSEN Ephraim 100% 84% 40% 8% -
275 WAI Andreas 100% 72% 26% 3% - - -
276 HUANG Thomas 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 32% 5%
277 FANG Hanning 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
278 GUO Woody 100% 38% 6% - - - -
279 TASKIRAN Mete 100% 62% 17% 2% - -
280 DOWD Peter L. 100% 57% 15% 2% - - -
281 ZANKOWSKI Brendan 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
281 LIU Felix 100% 99% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
281 THOMAS Michael 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% - -
281 GADHVI Darius 100% 42% 5% - - - -
281 KIM Remington 100% 24% 2% - - - -
281 JARRELL Keegan 100% 86% 41% 9% 1% - -
287 PAINTER Noah 100% 49% 8% 1% - - -
288 GUAN Nathan 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
289 WU Steven 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
289 CLAES Thomas 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% - -
291 JACKSON Owen 100% 19% 1% - - - -
291 CHAUDHURI Kabir 100% 30% 3% - - - -
293 AGHAZARIAN Samuel G. 100% 36% 6% - - - -
293 PATEL Shloke 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
295 PRAKASH Hari 100% 65% 22% 4% - -
296 KOLHE Tanish 100% 15% 1% - - - -
296 BAUMAN Colin 100% 11% - - - - -
296 DACHELET Sawyer 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
299 HOROWITZ Jacob 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
299 HIGGINS Calvin 100% 39% 6% - - - -
301 ZHAO Colin 100% 19% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.