National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, July 3, 2021 at 1:30 PM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAWSON Henry A. - - - - 3% 25% 72%
2 MA Ark - - - 1% 11% 38% 49%
3 IYOKI Kent - - - 1% 10% 39% 51%
3 ZHU Max - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
5 LIVERANT Skyler J. - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
6 ROBINSON Riley - - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
7 KROPP Jack - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
8 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
9 GOHEL Dayus T. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
10 DAO Matthew M. - - - 1% 8% 35% 57%
11 ZHAO corey - 1% 11% 32% 39% 15% 2%
12 IMREK Samuel A. - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
13 SHARMA Sanil - - 1% 7% 23% 41% 29%
14 LIU Alexander - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
15 COLLYMORE Spencer T. - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 11%
16 RHYU Kozmo - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
17 JIN Nicholas - - 1% 5% 21% 44% 30%
18 CLICK Aiden - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
19 GORIUNOV IVAN A. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16%
20 EMARA Omar - 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
21 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA - - - 5% 23% 43% 29%
22 FRAY Alexander - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
23 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
23 JAAFAR Omar 2% 16% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
25 DIXON Thomas - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3%
26 JEON Alexander E. - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
26 YOUNG Peyton E. - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
26 MUGA Boris - - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
29 CHO Tyler H. - - 1% 7% 28% 44% 20%
30 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
31 LIN Kyran - - 2% 13% 36% 38% 10%
32 LIANG Aaron - 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 4%
33 LEE Alexander G. - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 8%
34 MOSES Alexander - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
35 LONCAR Luka E. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
36 SHAH S Ayush - - - 3% 19% 47% 31%
37 MORSE Tyler - 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 5%
38 JAIN Sarthak - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
39 SENNEWALD Frederick A. - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
40 LIEF Isaac R. - 2% 14% 35% 35% 13% 1%
41 FELDMAN Jaemin - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 4%
41 JIN Alexander - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8%
43 SU Caleb - 2% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5%
44 NORBUTAS Jackson S. - - - 3% 18% 45% 35%
45 BEZRODNOV Michael - - 4% 22% 39% 28% 6%
46 OH Matthew M. - 3% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
47 POPOVICI Maximilian P. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
48 JIN Owen - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 10%
49 SHETTY Surya 2% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%
50 NEAL John P. - 5% 24% 40% 25% 5%
51 WU Byron - 2% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
52 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 17%
53 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. - 3% 13% 31% 35% 17% 2%
54 GRAYSON Shane W. - 4% 22% 39% 27% 7% 1%
55 SOOMRO Adam A. - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 5%
56 CHEN Eric - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
57 LEE Noah - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 5%
58 PARK Ian C. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
59 JAMES Samuel - 2% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5%
60 CASTLE Aaron - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 4%
61 VAYSBUKH Konstantin - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 14%
62 BRISLAWN Reilly R. - - 2% 9% 26% 40% 24%
63 LIOZNYANSKY Simon - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
64 STRAUSS Luke 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
65 JEYOON Ryan S. - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
65 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 25%
67 RICHARD Owen - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
68 GANA Jr Jorge M. - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
69 VERMEULE Spencer - - - - 6% 32% 62%
70 SEEFELDT William Henry C. - 1% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
71 SIVAKUMAR Ajit - - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14%
72 WONG NICHOLAS A. - - 2% 10% 30% 41% 18%
73 LIN Ryan - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
74 SHAH Maximilian A. - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
74 WU Joseph - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
76 SMITH Jackson - 1% 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
77 GATZA Logan - - 4% 17% 37% 34% 7%
77 MATTIS George - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
79 MACARTY Jordan T. - 1% 10% 30% 38% 17% 2%
80 HE Lawrence - 3% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
81 CHONG christopher - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
82 SKAALAND Will - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
83 GRAY Sterling B. - - - 4% 21% 46% 29%
84 PRASAD Ankith - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 28%
85 LEE Daniel Y. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
86 KRISTIANSEN Phillip 1% 6% 22% 33% 26% 10% 2%
87 GAO Daniel - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
88 WIMMER Chandler M. - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
89 GIBSON Nowell L. - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
90 SINGHA Orion - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
91 DUAN eric 4% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
92 PINERO Jose J. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
93 NESTEROV Andrew E. - 3% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
94 GARCIA-ROGERS Lucas H. - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 19%
95 SCHULZE Ethan 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
96 BASOK Nikita - 5% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
97 AU Marcus J. - 1% 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
98 KOFROTH Zachary R. - 1% 10% 30% 38% 19% 3%
98 JUN Jaywu - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
100 KOPPE Alexander 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
101 VEZMAR Evan H. 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
102 AGAON Ethan 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1%
103 WIMMER Nathaniel P. - 1% 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
104 SALERNO Gaetano 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
105 KIM Dylan J. - 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
106 BHATNAGAR Ayan 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
107 JIN daniel - 3% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
108 GALLO James - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
109 KUCZAJDA Matthew - 1% 10% 31% 38% 18% 2%
110 BORODITSKY Ethan - 4% 15% 30% 31% 17% 3%
111 LEE Shwan 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
111 KOKENGE Reid 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
113 POZOVSKIY Mitchell R. 2% 15% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
114 KATS Dylan G. - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
115 SERAFIN Ben 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
116 SHIV Rishi - 1% 5% 20% 35% 30% 9%
116 HUANG Thomas 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
118 BEZRODNOV Alexander - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
119 CHUNG Thomas - 7% 29% 39% 21% 4% -
120 WEAVER Neil - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
121 WOZNIAK Ignacy - 3% 18% 39% 32% 8%
122 CHATZIKALFAS Dimitris E. 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
123 IARIKOV Nicholas - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
124 KIM Byung 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
125 NOVOJILOV Alexei 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
126 WANG DEVON 3% 24% 41% 26% 7% 1%
127 WU Jonathan 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% -
128 MISHIMA Torata 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
129 INSLER Ethan C. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 28%
130 LEHR William D. - - 2% 15% 37% 35% 11%
130 KHANNA Nikhil 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
132 GYURE Brayden H. - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 13%
133 PARK Brian - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3%
134 AHN Gus - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 6%
135 MCKEEVER Luca 3% 24% 40% 26% 7% 1%
136 HARR Carver 1% 10% 31% 36% 17% 3% -
137 PAPAVASSILIOU Christos - 1% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
138 HIGGINS Branford 1% 9% 26% 34% 23% 7% 1%
139 O'DONNELL Benjamin 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
140 YAO Geoffrey B. 1% 13% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
141 AGAON Shawn 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
142 CHAWLA Armaan 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% -
143 WANG Tristan 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
144 LEONE III Charles D. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
145 PARK Frederick 1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
146 CHU Allan 1% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
147 HOLDERNESS Landon 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
148 XIAO Andrew 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
149 TUMIBAY Noah C. - 4% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
150 WONG Daniel 1% 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
151 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 1% 9% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
152 LI Jalen 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
153 TREBON Hayden 3% 16% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
154 THOMAS Harris 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
155 BUYANOV Nikita V. - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
156 KING Cameron - 1% 12% 35% 35% 14% 2%
157 GREEN Jabreel - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
158 ZHANG Alec - 6% 23% 39% 26% 6% -
159 DEKERMANJI Christopher 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 7% 1%
160 WOZNIAK Fryderyk 4% 28% 39% 22% 6% 1% -
161 CHOI Mason - 8% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
162 ODEN Isaac M. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
162 PAHLAVI Kamran 1% 14% 35% 34% 14% 3% -
164 MCALISTER Ian 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
165 IMREK Elijah S. 2% 23% 39% 26% 8% 1% -
166 USHER Alexander - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
167 WONG KEVIN 1% 8% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
168 LI Benjamin - 4% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
169 CHAMBLISS Logan C. 3% 21% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
170 LURVEY Samuel - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
171 ILYAS Zakariya 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
172 CAO Brad 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
173 SNYDER Ari 1% 8% 29% 39% 19% 3% -
174 KOBI Samuel 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
175 EKE Frank - - 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
176 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 5%
177 GILLER Augustus 31% 43% 21% 5% - - -
178 PARK Elliot 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
179 ZHAO Luhan - 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
180 HENSAL Nicolas A. - 1% 9% 29% 39% 19% 2%
180 JACKSON James 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
180 SURESH NEERAJ 7% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
183 SONG Ervin 2% 17% 40% 31% 9% 1% -
184 CARRIER Gabriel A. 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
185 LOGUE Ethan D. - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
186 CHANG Luo Jixiu 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
187 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin - 5% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
188 KARKI Salyan 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
188 GULLO Kenji Y. 2% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
190 SIMPSON Patrick - 4% 23% 39% 26% 6% -
190 OTTO Nathaniel B. 15% 39% 34% 11% 2% - -
192 HERNANDEZ Cole F. 28% 43% 23% 6% 1% - -
192 SARIKONDA Akhil 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
194 LEE Seungwon 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
195 BERKOWITZ Jeffrey 3% 16% 32% 30% 15% 3% -
196 PRIHODKO Max - 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
197 CHEN Jun Ho 18% 41% 30% 10% 2% - -
198 UPSHAW Micah 1% 20% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
199 WANG Eric S 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
200 HILBERT Gabriel E. 16% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
200 MCCRACKEN Dylan 24% 40% 26% 9% 1% - -
202 NIKOLOV Peter 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
202 WU Marcus 11% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
204 PARKER Riley D. 1% 10% 30% 36% 18% 4% -
204 DENNIS Ethan 1% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
206 KIM Ryan 6% 26% 36% 23% 8% 1% -
207 XIA Oliver 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
208 MILLER Lance W. 2% 29% 42% 22% 5% - -
209 MORAN Joseph 54% 35% 9% 1% - - -
210 RICCOBONO Matthew 38% 47% 13% 1% - - -
211 LYNCH Morgan 2% 13% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
212 HESSE Hans 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
213 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -
214 KIM Benjamin I. - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 11%
215 JONES Tyler 68% 28% 4% - - -
216 SCHLEUDER Aidan 1% 11% 32% 37% 17% 3%
217 BAKER Toby 33% 44% 19% 4% - -
218 ZHOU Stanley Q. 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
219 KUMAR Aidan 7% 26% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
219 LEE Chun Po 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
221 ROSENBERG Jacob 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
222 CHRISTENSEN Parker 44% 43% 11% 1% - - -
223 MOHEBI Saam - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 3%
224 WANG owen 21% 40% 28% 10% 2% - -
225 O'CONNOR Riley 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
226 LOISEAU Eliott 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
227 PARNAS Ely 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% - -
228 SINGH Aryaman 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
229 SENNEWALD James J. - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
230 GOLDFINE Ian J. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
231 MACNEIL Drew A. - 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1%
231 KIM Darius H. 1% 12% 29% 32% 19% 5% 1%
231 SCHARF Ryan 28% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
234 CHIRASHNYA Adam 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
234 GWINN William 84% 15% 1% - - - -
236 GIBBONS Alexander T. 15% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -
237 PHUKAN Rohin 1% 10% 33% 36% 16% 3% -
238 QUITORIANO Jonathan 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
239 VACCARO Dominick J. 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
239 SONN Rohan 13% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
239 DU Drake 3% 16% 34% 32% 14% 2% -
239 BARRY Jonah 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
243 BANNEN Nicholas 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
244 MCDONALD Ethan 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% - -
245 JUNG Minche 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
245 TORRES Gianni 51% 37% 10% 1% - - -
247 SINFUEGO Adrian 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
247 BRUSKOTTER Reiland 1% 11% 30% 34% 18% 5% -
249 WANG Darren 7% 45% 35% 10% 1% - -
250 SPINA Joseph B. 6% 28% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
251 CORRALES Victor M. 2% 18% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
251 TEH Steven 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
253 DAVIS Jonah 22% 49% 25% 4% - - -
254 LAING Flynt 11% 35% 34% 16% 4% - -
255 SHA Michael 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
256 DOLLARHITE Tommy 12% 36% 35% 14% 3% - -
257 BENNICOFF Liam F. 9% 29% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
258 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 51% 37% 11% 2% - - -
259 ZHANG Andy 62% 31% 6% 1% - - -
260 ROTHKA Spencer J. 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
261 PARKS Isaac 20% 41% 29% 9% 2% - -
262 WOLFE Alex 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
263 BANKULLA Nihal R. 2% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
264 WALLACE Lee 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
265 WENGER Caleb 10% 36% 36% 15% 3% - -
266 MENTELE Caden 29% 47% 20% 4% - - -
267 DAO Alexander 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
268 SOOHOO Jackson F. 2% 21% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
268 LEE JoonWon 42% 41% 14% 2% - - -
268 CHEN Matthew 64% 30% 5% - - - -
271 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 15% 39% 32% 12% 2% - -
272 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. 49% 38% 12% 2% - - -
272 LIM Matthew T. 16% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
272 WANG Kevin 71% 25% 4% - - - -
275 YOON Brian 7% 38% 38% 14% 2% - -
276 POPA Ethan 69% 27% 4% - - - -
277 KNUDSEN Travis 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
278 HACKNEY David 24% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.