National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, July 3, 2021 at 1:30 PM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAWSON Henry A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72%
2 MA Ark 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
3 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
3 ZHU Max 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
5 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
6 ROBINSON Riley 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
7 KROPP Jack 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
8 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
9 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
10 DAO Matthew M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
11 ZHAO corey 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 17% 2%
12 IMREK Samuel A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 19%
13 SHARMA Sanil 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 29%
14 LIU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
15 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
16 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
17 JIN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 30%
18 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
19 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 16%
20 EMARA Omar 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
21 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
22 FRAY Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
23 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
23 JAAFAR Omar 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 3% -
25 DIXON Thomas 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
26 JEON Alexander E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
26 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
26 MUGA Boris 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 8%
29 CHO Tyler H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
30 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
31 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 10%
32 LIANG Aaron 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 4%
33 LEE Alexander G. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 8%
34 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
35 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
36 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 31%
37 MORSE Tyler 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
38 JAIN Sarthak 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 9% 1%
39 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
40 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1%
41 FELDMAN Jaemin 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 4%
41 JIN Alexander 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 39% 8%
43 SU Caleb 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
44 NORBUTAS Jackson S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
45 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
46 OH Matthew M. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
47 POPOVICI Maximilian P. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
48 JIN Owen 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 10%
49 SHETTY Surya 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2%
50 NEAL John P. 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 5%
51 WU Byron 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
52 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
53 PHILLIPS Jeffrey T. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
54 GRAYSON Shane W. 100% 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1%
55 SOOMRO Adam A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 5%
56 CHEN Eric 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 18% 3%
57 LEE Noah 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
58 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
59 JAMES Samuel 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
60 CASTLE Aaron 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
61 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14%
62 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
63 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
64 STRAUSS Luke 100% 97% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
65 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 19%
65 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 25%
67 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
68 GANA Jr Jorge M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
69 VERMEULE Spencer 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 62%
70 SEEFELDT William Henry C. 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
71 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
72 WONG NICHOLAS A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
73 LIN Ryan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
74 SHAH Maximilian A. 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
74 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
76 SMITH Jackson 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
77 GATZA Logan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 7%
77 MATTIS George 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 19% 3%
79 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20% 2%
80 HE Lawrence 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
81 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
82 SKAALAND Will 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 3%
83 GRAY Sterling B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 29%
84 PRASAD Ankith 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28%
85 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17%
86 KRISTIANSEN Phillip 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 12% 2%
87 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
88 WIMMER Chandler M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
89 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
90 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
91 DUAN eric 100% 96% 71% 33% 9% 1% -
92 PINERO Jose J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
93 NESTEROV Andrew E. 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
94 GARCIA-ROGERS Lucas H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
95 SCHULZE Ethan 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
96 BASOK Nikita 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
97 AU Marcus J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 35% 7%
98 KOFROTH Zachary R. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
98 JUN Jaywu 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
100 KOPPE Alexander 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
101 VEZMAR Evan H. 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 9% 1%
102 AGAON Ethan 100% 99% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1%
103 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
104 SALERNO Gaetano 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 7% 1%
105 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
106 BHATNAGAR Ayan 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
107 JIN daniel 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 4%
108 GALLO James 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
109 KUCZAJDA Matthew 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 19% 2%
110 BORODITSKY Ethan 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
111 LEE Shwan 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 10% 1%
111 KOKENGE Reid 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
113 POZOVSKIY Mitchell R. 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2% -
114 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
115 SERAFIN Ben 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
116 SHIV Rishi 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
116 HUANG Thomas 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
118 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
119 CHUNG Thomas 100% 100% 93% 64% 25% 4% -
120 WEAVER Neil 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
121 WOZNIAK Ignacy 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
122 CHATZIKALFAS Dimitris E. 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
123 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
124 KIM Byung 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
125 NOVOJILOV Alexei 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
126 WANG DEVON 100% 97% 74% 33% 7% 1%
127 WU Jonathan 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% -
128 MISHIMA Torata 100% 98% 88% 60% 27% 7% 1%
129 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
130 LEHR William D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
130 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
132 GYURE Brayden H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
133 PARK Brian 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 17% 3%
134 AHN Gus 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
135 MCKEEVER Luca 100% 97% 73% 33% 7% 1%
136 HARR Carver 100% 99% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
137 PAPAVASSILIOU Christos 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
138 HIGGINS Branford 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
139 O'DONNELL Benjamin 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
140 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 99% 85% 53% 21% 4% -
141 AGAON Shawn 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
142 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6% -
143 WANG Tristan 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 13% 2%
144 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
145 PARK Frederick 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
146 CHU Allan 100% 99% 86% 55% 22% 5% -
147 HOLDERNESS Landon 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
148 XIAO Andrew 100% 91% 62% 26% 7% 1% -
149 TUMIBAY Noah C. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
150 WONG Daniel 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7% 1%
151 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
152 LI Jalen 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
153 TREBON Hayden 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
154 THOMAS Harris 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
155 BUYANOV Nikita V. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 4%
156 KING Cameron 100% 100% 99% 86% 52% 16% 2%
157 GREEN Jabreel 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
158 ZHANG Alec 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 7% -
159 DEKERMANJI Christopher 100% 99% 90% 64% 31% 8% 1%
160 WOZNIAK Fryderyk 100% 96% 68% 29% 6% 1% -
161 CHOI Mason 100% 100% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
162 ODEN Isaac M. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 9% 1%
162 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 99% 85% 51% 17% 3% -
164 MCALISTER Ian 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
165 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 98% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
166 USHER Alexander 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
167 WONG KEVIN 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
168 LI Benjamin 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
169 CHAMBLISS Logan C. 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 2% -
170 LURVEY Samuel 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
171 ILYAS Zakariya 100% 88% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
172 CAO Brad 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
173 SNYDER Ari 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3% -
174 KOBI Samuel 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
175 EKE Frank 100% 100% 100% 94% 73% 34% 6%
176 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
177 GILLER Augustus 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
178 PARK Elliot 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 8% 1%
179 ZHAO Luhan 100% 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
180 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 2%
180 JACKSON James 100% 99% 87% 56% 23% 5% -
180 SURESH NEERAJ 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
183 SONG Ervin 100% 98% 81% 41% 10% 1% -
184 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
185 LOGUE Ethan D. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 19% 3%
186 CHANG Luo Jixiu 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
187 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin 100% 100% 95% 77% 46% 16% 2%
188 KARKI Salyan 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
188 GULLO Kenji Y. 100% 98% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
190 SIMPSON Patrick 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% -
190 OTTO Nathaniel B. 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
192 HERNANDEZ Cole F. 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
192 SARIKONDA Akhil 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
194 LEE Seungwon 100% 98% 86% 53% 20% 4% -
195 BERKOWITZ Jeffrey 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
196 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
197 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
198 UPSHAW Micah 100% 99% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
199 WANG Eric S 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
200 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 84% 49% 17% 3% - -
200 MCCRACKEN Dylan 100% 76% 37% 10% 2% - -
202 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
202 WU Marcus 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% - -
204 PARKER Riley D. 100% 99% 89% 58% 23% 4% -
204 DENNIS Ethan 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 6% 1%
206 KIM Ryan 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
207 XIA Oliver 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
208 MILLER Lance W. 100% 98% 70% 27% 5% - -
209 MORAN Joseph 100% 46% 11% 1% - - -
210 RICCOBONO Matthew 100% 62% 15% 2% - - -
211 LYNCH Morgan 100% 98% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
212 HESSE Hans 100% 59% 17% 3% - - -
213 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
214 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 11%
215 JONES Tyler 100% 32% 4% - - -
216 SCHLEUDER Aidan 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 3%
217 BAKER Toby 100% 67% 23% 4% - -
218 ZHOU Stanley Q. 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
219 KUMAR Aidan 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
219 LEE Chun Po 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
221 ROSENBERG Jacob 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
222 CHRISTENSEN Parker 100% 56% 12% 1% - - -
223 MOHEBI Saam 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
224 WANG owen 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
225 O'CONNOR Riley 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 3% -
226 LOISEAU Eliott 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
227 PARNAS Ely 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% - -
228 SINGH Aryaman 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
229 SENNEWALD James J. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
230 GOLDFINE Ian J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
231 MACNEIL Drew A. 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
231 KIM Darius H. 100% 99% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
231 SCHARF Ryan 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
234 CHIRASHNYA Adam 100% 78% 38% 10% 2% - -
234 GWINN William 100% 16% 1% - - - -
236 GIBBONS Alexander T. 100% 85% 49% 18% 4% - -
237 PHUKAN Rohin 100% 99% 89% 56% 19% 3% -
238 QUITORIANO Jonathan 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% - -
239 VACCARO Dominick J. 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
239 SONN Rohan 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
239 DU Drake 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
239 BARRY Jonah 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
243 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 78% 35% 9% 1% - -
244 MCDONALD Ethan 100% 88% 51% 14% 2% - -
245 JUNG Minche 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
245 TORRES Gianni 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
247 SINFUEGO Adrian 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
247 BRUSKOTTER Reiland 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
249 WANG Darren 100% 93% 47% 12% 1% - -
250 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
251 CORRALES Victor M. 100% 98% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
251 TEH Steven 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
253 DAVIS Jonah 100% 78% 29% 5% - - -
254 LAING Flynt 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
255 SHA Michael 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
256 DOLLARHITE Tommy 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
257 BENNICOFF Liam F. 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
258 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 49% 13% 2% - - -
259 ZHANG Andy 100% 38% 7% 1% - - -
260 ROTHKA Spencer J. 100% 86% 50% 18% 3% - -
261 PARKS Isaac 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
262 WOLFE Alex 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 3% -
263 BANKULLA Nihal R. 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
264 WALLACE Lee 100% 86% 50% 18% 3% - -
265 WENGER Caleb 100% 90% 54% 18% 3% - -
266 MENTELE Caden 100% 71% 24% 4% - - -
267 DAO Alexander 100% 75% 35% 10% 2% - -
268 SOOHOO Jackson F. 100% 98% 77% 39% 12% 2% -
268 LEE JoonWon 100% 58% 17% 2% - - -
268 CHEN Matthew 100% 36% 6% - - - -
271 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
272 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. 100% 51% 14% 2% - - -
272 LIM Matthew T. 100% 84% 41% 11% 2% - -
272 WANG Kevin 100% 29% 4% - - - -
275 YOON Brian 100% 93% 54% 17% 2% - -
276 POPA Ethan 100% 31% 4% - - - -
277 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
278 HACKNEY David 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.