Division I and Parafencing Nat'l Championships & April NAC

Junior Men's Épée

Thursday, April 21, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 IMREK Samuel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
2 WHELAN Thomas (Tony) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
3 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 69%
3 SILVERS Noah E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
5 GORNOVSKY David J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
6 VAYSBUKH Konstantin 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
7 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
8 SENNEWALD James J. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
9 LIU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
10 MA Ark 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 57%
11 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 23% 3%
12 BINDAS Odinn A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 8%
13 JEON Alexander E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 18%
14 LIPPMAN Eli 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 11%
15 BORODITSKY Ethan 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6%
16 JIN Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
17 LOYOLA TORRIENTE Padick 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
18 FRAY Alexander 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
19 KUSHNERIK Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
20 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 5%
21 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 18%
22 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
23 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
24 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
25 MCKEEVER Luca 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
26 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
27 LEE Shwan 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
28 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
29 KIM Sterling S. 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2% -
30 JACKSON James 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
31 WU Jonathan 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
32 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 9%
33 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25%
34 INSLER Ethan C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
34 CANDELA Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
36 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
37 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
38 CHEN Eric 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 10%
39 TOWNSEND Avery S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
40 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
41 LEHR William D. 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
42 KIM Darius H. 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
43 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
44 GATZA Logan 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 5%
45 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 14% 2%
46 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
47 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
48 KROPP Jack 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 19%
49 PRASAD Ankith 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
50 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
51 VERMEULE Spencer 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 28%
51 KIM Byung 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
53 GORIUNOV IVAN A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
54 LIVERANT Skyler J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 33%
55 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8% -
56 LEVITSKY Jonathan 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
57 KUMAR Aidan 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
58 HEIM Bryce 100% 99% 91% 60% 20% 3% -
59 BROOKS Mason K. 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
60 GRAYSON Shane W. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
61 PARK Brian 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4% -
62 BOUMEDIENNE Sami 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 24% 3%
63 SHIV Rishi 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
64 JIN daniel 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
65 CHO Tyler H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
66 ZAFFT Maximo S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
67 DIECK Logan O. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28% 3%
68 JIN Owen 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
69 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
70 KANG Philip F. 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
71 ZHANG Alec 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
72 GANA Jr Jorge M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
73 MUGA Boris 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
74 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
75 SCHARF Ryan 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
76 GYURE Brayden H. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
77 KIM Sullivan 100% 81% 44% 15% 3% < 1% -
78 WANG DEVON 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
79 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7%
80 JEONG Connor 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
81 BHATNAGAR Ayan 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
82 LEE Seungwon 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
83 BEKKER Mitchel 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 15%
84 SMITH Nicholas S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 14%
85 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 8% 1%
86 JOSEPH William 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 21% 3%
87 RHYU Kozmo 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
88 LI Patrick 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
89 GOLDFINE Ian J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
90 HENSAL Nicolas A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
91 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 9%
92 MISHIMA Torata 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
93 GALLO James 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 2%
94 AGAON Shawn 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 19% 2%
95 CASTLE Aaron 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1%
96 KOBI Samuel 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
97 CHU Allan 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 2%
98 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
98 MATTIS George 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
100 LI Jalen 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1%
101 BORATIN Daniel I. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 13%
102 SHAH Maximilian A. 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
103 HE Lawrence 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
104 SU Caleb 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 4%
105 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 9% 1%
106 VEZMAR Evan H. 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 12% 1%
107 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 9%
108 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18% 2%
109 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
110 HANNON Owen 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
111 SHARMA Sanil 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 26%
112 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 8%
113 JAIN Sarthak 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 11% 1%
114 NORTH Alexander M. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
115 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
116 KIM Nathan 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
117 ZHU Max 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
118 CAO Brad 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
119 XIAO Andrew 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
120 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
121 DIXON Thomas 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
122 HARR Carver 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% -
123 LEE Wesley 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
124 POPOVICI Maximilian P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
125 AHMED saheer 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
126 TUMIBAY Noah C. 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
127 WEI Zheng (Jonny) 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
128 PHUKAN Rohin 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
129 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
130 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
131 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% -
132 LAVENSTEIN Kinley V. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 5%
133 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
134 PARK Elliot 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
135 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
136 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
137 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25% 3%
138 OSTIGUY Cameron 100% 87% 45% 12% 1% - -
139 ZHOU Stanley Q. 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
140 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
141 CREMONA Diego Maria 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
142 STRAUSS Luke 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
143 VACCARO Dominick J. 100% 99% 89% 53% 17% 2% -
144 CHIRASHNYA Adam 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 11% 1%
145 SHA Michael 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
146 POZOVSKIY Mitchell R. 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
147 GRAY Sterling B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
148 AGAON Ethan 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
149 WANG owen 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
150 JAAFAR Omar 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
151 WOLFE Alex 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
152 GAO Zachary 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
153 CHOI Mason 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
154 CUI Oscar (Bo Lang) 100% 99% 84% 44% 11% 1% -
155 ARAVIND Athreya 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
156 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
156 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 47% 14%
156 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
159 WANG Terry 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 13% 1%
160 SPITTLE Jake 100% 98% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
161 SHCHUR Landon 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
162 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
163 DEKERMANJI Christopher 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 5% -
164 CHOI Aleksey 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
165 CAO Albert 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% -
166 NGUYEN Tate 100% 99% 87% 57% 24% 6% 1%
167 LIN Kason 100% 76% 35% 8% 1% - -
168 LAI Aedin 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
169 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
170 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
171 DIVERIS Joseph 100% 93% 63% 24% 5% - -
172 TORRES Nicolas 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% - -
173 DENNIS Ethan 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
174 FU Leon 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
175 PAPAVASSILIOU Christos 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
176 SARIKONDA Akhil 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% -
177 ZENG Zihan 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% -
178 POS Theo 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 13%
179 XIANG Hongyi 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
180 FENG du 100% 62% 19% 3% - -
181 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
182 EMARA Omar 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 25% 4%
183 MORSE Tyler 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 2%
183 SINGH Aryaman 100% 95% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
185 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% - -
186 BRUSKOTTER Reiland 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
187 ARKHIPOV Peter 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
188 VALES Keyan 100% 97% 77% 39% 11% 2% -
189 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
190 ZHUANG William 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% - -
191 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
191 TRIMMER Colin 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1%
191 WANG Tristan 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
194 GOHSMAN Maxwell 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
195 MCADOO Declan 100% 86% 47% 13% 2% - -
196 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
197 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 99% 87% 52% 16% 2% -
198 JORDAN Anton 100% 96% 75% 38% 9% 1% -
199 GAO Chaney C. 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
200 CROSSMAN Brandon 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3% -
201 DAVIS Jonah 100% 91% 46% 11% 1% - -
202 HUSSAIN Kamran 100% 100% 98% 81% 45% 12% 1%
202 CHRISTENSEN Parker 100% 93% 56% 19% 3% - -
204 LEE JoonWon 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
205 SKAALAND Will 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
205 WATT Darren 100% 94% 68% 28% 6% - -
207 LAI Coby 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
208 BERKOWITZ Jeffrey 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
209 MENDOZA Zachari 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 7% -
210 MUGA Aiden 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
211 WU Marcus 100% 93% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
211 WANG Steven 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
213 FUSSMAN Yuval 100% 81% 36% 8% 1% - -
214 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
215 REDDY Arya 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
216 LO Jake 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% -
217 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
218 MAHESH Tarun 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% -
219 KWOUN Miles S. 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% -
220 EVANS noah 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
221 LIU Andrew 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
222 ZHAO corey 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 5%
223 LIU Dylan Y. 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
224 WANG Aidan 100% 83% 41% 11% 2% - -
225 LIU Noah 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -
225 YU Hunter 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
227 WEAVER Neil 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 8% 1%
228 DU SHUNYU K. 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
228 PRAKASH Hari 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
228 EVERS Gabriel 100% 71% 26% 4% - - -
231 ROTHKA Spencer J. 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
231 LI Jeffrey 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
233 MING Nathan 100% 88% 44% 10% 1% - -
234 PARK Nicholas 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
235 WEI Michael 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% - -
236 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 100% 77% 31% 6% 1% - -
237 SCHERNIKAU Jack 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
238 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
239 SINHA Zaan 100% 83% 38% 8% 1% - -
239 ULINICH Alexander 100% 93% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
239 ZHU Eric 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
242 QUITORIANO Jonathan 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
243 JEON Hwidong 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
244 ELANGO SriVaaikuntesh 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
245 LI Zachary 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
246 XIE Brandon 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
247 STCLAIR Jake 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
248 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. 100% 83% 36% 8% 1% - -
249 LIU Felix 100% 98% 82% 46% 15% 2% -
250 LOISEAU Eliott 100% 98% 81% 43% 12% 1% -
251 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
252 HE Zhiheng 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
253 GULLO Kenji Y. 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2% -
253 HEADRICK Lance 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
255 ARMITAGE Liam 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
256 CHIMOSKEY Finn D. 100% 86% 48% 16% 3% - -
257 GAITHER Christopher W. 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% -
258 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% -
259 PHAM Sawyer T. 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
260 BERNARD Jack B. 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% - -
260 BYARS John 100% 33% 4% - - - -
262 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 86% 45% 13% 2% -
263 MENDOZA Zander 100% 67% 22% 3% - - -
264 FAN Wei Jyun 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
265 QUITORIANO Matthew 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
266 HU Robert J. 100% 43% 7% 1% - - -
267 LOMIO Nicholas A. 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
268 HU Anton 100% 55% 13% 1% - - -
269 ZHAO Zidong 100% 79% 30% 5% - - -
270 ROSS Connor 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.