USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Cadet Men's Épée

Wednesday, July 6, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BEZRODNOV Alexander - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 14%
2 LONCAR Luka E. - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
3 JIN Nicholas - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 16%
3 CHONG christopher - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
5 LEE Shwan - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
6 JEYOON Ryan S. - - 1% 6% 22% 40% 30%
7 PRASAD Ankith - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
8 BORODITSKY Ethan - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 26%
9 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 31%
10 CHAI Jonathan - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
11 PARK Ian C. - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
12 BEZRODNOV Michael - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
13 IMREK Elijah S. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 2%
14 KATS Dylan G. - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
15 GOLDFINE Ian J. - - - 4% 18% 42% 37%
16 AGAON Ethan - 2% 11% 29% 36% 20% 4%
17 CLICK Aiden - - - 3% 16% 40% 41%
18 BINDAS Odinn A. - - - 3% 16% 41% 39%
19 CHOI Mason - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
20 CARRIER Gabriel A. - - 4% 15% 34% 35% 12%
21 KOZAKIEWICZ Filip - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
22 SENNEWALD James J. - - 2% 9% 25% 39% 25%
23 PRIHODKO Max - 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 6%
24 PHAM Sawyer T. - 1% 6% 24% 40% 26% 4%
25 MURPHY Thomas P. - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
26 NORTH Alexander M. - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
27 SINGHA Orion - 1% 7% 27% 44% 21%
28 KIM Dylan J. - 1% 9% 29% 41% 21%
29 HIGGINS Branford - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 5%
30 LIOZNYANSKY Simon - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
31 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. - 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 5%
31 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei - - - 2% 14% 40% 44%
33 YOUNG Peyton E. - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
34 PARK Elliot - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
35 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. - 1% 7% 27% 43% 23%
36 GOHEL Dayus T. - - - 3% 15% 40% 43%
37 LEE Daniel Y. - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
38 WONG Chi Ho 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2%
39 LEONE III Charles D. - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
39 KIM Byung - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 16%
41 MACARTY Jordan T. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
42 WRIGHT Christopher - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
42 DAVOODIAN Christopher - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
44 HILBERT Gabriel E. - - 3% 15% 34% 36% 13%
45 LEE Samuel Y. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 28% 8%
46 KIM Nathan 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
47 CAO Albert - - 4% 19% 39% 31% 7%
48 IARIKOV Nicholas - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
49 LI Patrick - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
50 VACCARO Dominick J. 1% 10% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
51 DUAN eric - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
52 STRAUSS Luke - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 11%
53 SEEFELDT William Henry C. - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
53 LIN Kyran - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
55 PHUKAN Rohin 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 2%
56 SARKAR agniv - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 1%
57 KNOX James - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
58 KWOUN Miles S. 2% 11% 27% 32% 21% 6% 1%
59 WATT Darren 1% 10% 28% 34% 21% 6% -
60 ELYADERANI Paxon - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
61 DU Shunyu K. 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
62 ROLLO Emmett H. 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
63 SENNEWALD Frederick A. - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
64 ZHANG Caden 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
65 SU Caleb - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
66 RICHARDS Jackson D. 1% 7% 22% 35% 26% 8% 1%
67 AYABINA JR John 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
68 ZHENG Haoran - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
69 AGAON Shawn - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
70 JIN Daniel - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
70 ARAVIND Athreya - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
72 DESTEFANO Julius - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
72 WEI Zheng (Jonny) - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
72 BEALS Alden 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
75 GAO Chaney C. - 4% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
76 LOISEAU Eliott 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% -
77 LO Jake - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
78 WOLFE Alex - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
79 ZHAO corey - - 4% 18% 37% 33% 9%
80 YAO Geoffrey B. - 4% 17% 37% 32% 10%
81 RICHARD Owen - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
82 MICKO Fritz K. - - 4% 20% 44% 31%
83 KUMAR Aidan - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
84 NIKOLOV Peter 1% 10% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1%
85 HEADRICK Lance 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
86 ULINICH Alexander 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
87 CHIRASHNYA Daniel - 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
88 VEZMAR Evan H. - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 6%
89 PARK Frederick - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
90 LEE Seungwon - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
91 NATSVLISHVILI John Vano 2% 15% 33% 31% 15% 3% -
92 JORDAN Anton 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
93 KRZYSIAK David F. 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
94 LEE Chun Po 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
95 NEAL John P. - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5%
96 NGUYEN Tate - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
97 LIU Andrew 1% 10% 29% 36% 19% 4%
98 ELLISON Harper F. 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
99 WEI Michael 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
100 SILVERS Ari - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
101 GAO Daniel - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
102 WANG Devon - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
103 LU Ivan 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
104 SAVORETTI Francesco - 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 4%
105 WANG Clayton - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
106 CHIN Dylan A. 9% 33% 36% 18% 4% 1% -
107 ZHANG Alec - 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 5%
108 TREBON Hayden - 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3%
109 SHCHUR Landon - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
110 BASOK Nikita 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
110 CUI Oscar (Bo Lang) - 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 6%
112 PAK Elliot 3% 17% 36% 31% 11% 2% -
113 ZHOU Justin - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 4%
114 SPINA Joseph B. 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3% -
115 MULCAHY Olaf - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 2%
116 YANG Edward 1% 10% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
117 MCDONALD Ethan 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
118 FU Leon 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
119 MCALISTER Ian - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
120 JONES Tyler 5% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1%
121 ALVAREZ Ian T. - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
122 WU Jonathan - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
123 JOSLIN Tyler 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
124 HOGE William P. 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
125 MITEV Alexander 5% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
126 EVERS Gabriel 19% 40% 30% 9% 1% -
127 KIM Jayden 4% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1%
128 LAI Aedin - 3% 15% 31% 33% 15% 2%
129 KHANNA Nikhil - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
130 KARNAS Karol 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
131 GALLO James - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
132 SANTOS Francisco M. 16% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
132 ARKHIPOV Peter 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
134 JONES Caleb 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
135 SCHULZE Ethan - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
136 ZHU Eric 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
137 ROMERO KURI Carlos Alexander 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
138 SHA Michael 1% 10% 28% 34% 21% 5% -
139 SEO Shawn 11% 37% 36% 14% 2% -
140 WIMMER Nathaniel P. - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
141 CHIMOSKEY Finn D. 2% 14% 35% 35% 13% 2%
142 ZHOU Gavin 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
143 DUSSEAU Maddax 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
144 ZAYDMAN David M. - 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
145 KNUDSEN Travis 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
146 SUN Jason 2% 13% 28% 32% 19% 5% 1%
147 CHIRASHNYA Adam - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
148 CHEN Jun Ho 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
149 CHAMBLISS Logan C. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
150 KOPPE Alexander 1% 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
151 KUBATIN Anton V. 15% 36% 33% 13% 3% - -
151 DAO Alexander 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
153 ILYAS Zakariya 4% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
153 BURLING Trenor 4% 21% 37% 27% 10% 2% -
155 ESKRIDGE Caleb 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
155 JUN Jaywu - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
157 KIM Ian 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
158 LIU Yikun 35% 41% 19% 4% - - -
159 DORASZELSKI Mark 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% - -
160 XIAO Andrew 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
161 VELINOV Gabriel - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
162 PARK Nicholas 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
163 ZAYDMAN Ethan 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
164 REDDY Arya 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
165 LIN Harrison 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
166 TIEN Jabin 7% 24% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
167 LI Zachary 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
168 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 16% 37% 32% 13% 3% -
169 MAHESH Tarun 1% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
170 O'DONNELL Benjamin 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
171 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. 23% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
172 KOKENGE Reid - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 19%
173 SINGH Aryaman 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
174 SONN Rohan 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
175 BAGCHI Aritra 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
176 ZHANG Nathan 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
177 CHOI Kaiden I. 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
178 DEKERMANJI Christopher - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
179 WU Marcus 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
180 JANG Elliot - 5% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1%
181 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 14% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
182 FISHMAN Rahm 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
183 ZHUANG William 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
183 WANG Trontour 5% 22% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
185 DOWDELL Riley 5% 21% 33% 27% 12% 2% -
186 CAO Brad - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
187 KIM Sullivan 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
188 FENG du 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
189 CHEN Bailey 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
190 BRODSKY Julian 12% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
191 WANG Max S 20% 43% 28% 8% 1% - -
192 OTTO Nathaniel B. 8% 33% 37% 18% 4% - -
192 XIE Brandon 10% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
192 MUGA Aiden 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
195 SINHA Zaan 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
196 SONG Troy 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
197 DAVIS Jonah 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
198 WONG KEVIN 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
199 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% -
200 XIONG Aaron 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
201 AGARWAL Adheesh 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
202 CHU Allan - 3% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
203 WU Colin 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
204 TORRES Nicolas 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
205 QUITORIANO Matthew 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
206 LEE JoonWon 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
206 TORRES Gianni 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
208 SANTOS Antonio K. 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
209 MCADOO Declan 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
210 CHEN Zhengyang 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
211 YU Austin 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
212 JAAFAR Hamza 30% 44% 22% 5% - - -
212 DONDISCH Ilan 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
212 HANNON Owen 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 7% 1%
215 SARKAR Anish 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
215 ZHANG ethan 19% 44% 28% 8% 1% - -
217 PRABHAKAR Agasthya 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
218 FERRIERE Joshua 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
219 KUO Rylan 18% 36% 30% 13% 3% - -
219 SUN Jeffery 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
219 LIU Noah 24% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
222 YUEN Nathan 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
223 BARG Jonathan 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% -
223 DRIBIN Ezra - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
225 GENCHEV Madav 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
226 HU Robert J. 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
227 RICHARDSON Ray 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
228 SHOUSHA Yassin 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
228 JU Hanul 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
230 BEAVER Aaron 7% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
231 DACKO Alexander V. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
232 SHETTY RIHAN 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
233 HE Zhiheng - 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
234 BAZHENOV Anthony 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
235 XIA Oliver 12% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
236 GAO Zachary 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
237 ANDERSON Kai 29% 43% 23% 5% 1% -
238 KENT V David 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
239 NORDQUIST Zach 34% 43% 19% 4% - -
240 BUERGISSER Kai 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
240 PARKS Isaac 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
240 MIAO Kunqi 31% 44% 20% 4% - - -
243 DHAL Leon 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
244 LOFTUS Luca 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
245 TASKIRAN Mete 39% 43% 15% 2% - - -
246 GAITHER Christopher W. 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% -
247 FUSSMAN Yuval 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
247 PRAKASH Hari 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
247 TIRADO Giancarlo 10% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
247 DAS Roshan 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
251 LEE Bryson 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% -
252 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.