USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Cadet Men's Épée

Wednesday, July 6, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 14%
2 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
3 JIN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
3 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
5 LEE Shwan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
6 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
7 PRASAD Ankith 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
8 BORODITSKY Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
9 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 31%
10 CHAI Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
11 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
12 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 24%
13 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 2%
14 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
15 GOLDFINE Ian J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
16 AGAON Ethan 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
17 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
18 BINDAS Odinn A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
19 CHOI Mason 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
20 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 12%
21 KOZAKIEWICZ Filip 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 31% 6%
22 SENNEWALD James J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 25%
23 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
24 PHAM Sawyer T. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 4%
25 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
26 NORTH Alexander M. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
27 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
28 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
29 HIGGINS Branford 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5%
30 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
31 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 31% 5%
31 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
33 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
34 PARK Elliot 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
35 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
36 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
37 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
38 WONG Chi Ho 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 13% 2%
39 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
39 KIM Byung 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
41 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
42 WRIGHT Christopher 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
42 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
44 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
45 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
46 KIM Nathan 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
47 CAO Albert 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 7%
48 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
49 LI Patrick 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
50 VACCARO Dominick J. 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
51 DUAN eric 100% 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
52 STRAUSS Luke 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
53 SEEFELDT William Henry C. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
53 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
55 PHUKAN Rohin 100% 99% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
56 SARKAR agniv 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 1%
57 KNOX James 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
58 KWOUN Miles S. 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
59 WATT Darren 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
60 ELYADERANI Paxon 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
61 DU Shunyu K. 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
62 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
63 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
64 ZHANG Caden 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
65 SU Caleb 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
66 RICHARDS Jackson D. 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
67 AYABINA JR John 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
68 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
69 AGAON Shawn 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 14%
70 JIN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 17%
70 ARAVIND Athreya 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
72 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
72 WEI Zheng (Jonny) 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
72 BEALS Alden 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
75 GAO Chaney C. 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
76 LOISEAU Eliott 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 6% -
77 LO Jake 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
78 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 24% 4%
79 ZHAO corey 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 9%
80 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10%
81 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 21%
82 MICKO Fritz K. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
83 KUMAR Aidan 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
84 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
85 HEADRICK Lance 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
86 ULINICH Alexander 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
87 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
88 VEZMAR Evan H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
89 PARK Frederick 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
90 LEE Seungwon 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
91 NATSVLISHVILI John Vano 100% 98% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
92 JORDAN Anton 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
93 KRZYSIAK David F. 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
94 LEE Chun Po 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
95 NEAL John P. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
96 NGUYEN Tate 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
97 LIU Andrew 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
98 ELLISON Harper F. 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
99 WEI Michael 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
100 SILVERS Ari 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
101 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
102 WANG Devon 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
103 LU Ivan 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
104 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
105 WANG Clayton 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
106 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 91% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
107 ZHANG Alec 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 5%
108 TREBON Hayden 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
109 SHCHUR Landon 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
110 BASOK Nikita 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
110 CUI Oscar (Bo Lang) 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
112 PAK Elliot 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
113 ZHOU Justin 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
114 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3% -
115 MULCAHY Olaf 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 2%
116 YANG Edward 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
117 MCDONALD Ethan 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
118 FU Leon 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
119 MCALISTER Ian 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
120 JONES Tyler 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1%
121 ALVAREZ Ian T. 100% 100% 94% 73% 34% 7%
122 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
123 JOSLIN Tyler 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
124 HOGE William P. 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% - -
125 MITEV Alexander 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
126 EVERS Gabriel 100% 81% 40% 11% 1% -
127 KIM Jayden 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% 1%
128 LAI Aedin 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 18% 2%
129 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
130 KARNAS Karol 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 3%
131 GALLO James 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
132 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 84% 44% 13% 2% - -
132 ARKHIPOV Peter 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1%
134 JONES Caleb 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
135 SCHULZE Ethan 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
136 ZHU Eric 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
137 ROMERO KURI Carlos Alexander 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
138 SHA Michael 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 6% -
139 SEO Shawn 100% 89% 52% 16% 2% -
140 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
141 CHIMOSKEY Finn D. 100% 98% 85% 50% 15% 2%
142 ZHOU Gavin 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
143 DUSSEAU Maddax 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% -
144 ZAYDMAN David M. 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 21% 3%
145 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 2% -
146 SUN Jason 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
147 CHIRASHNYA Adam 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
148 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
149 CHAMBLISS Logan C. 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
150 KOPPE Alexander 100% 99% 95% 76% 43% 13% 2%
151 KUBATIN Anton V. 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
151 DAO Alexander 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
153 ILYAS Zakariya 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
153 BURLING Trenor 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
155 ESKRIDGE Caleb 100% 95% 72% 36% 11% 2% -
155 JUN Jaywu 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
157 KIM Ian 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
158 LIU Yikun 100% 65% 23% 5% - - -
159 DORASZELSKI Mark 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
160 XIAO Andrew 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 8% 1%
161 VELINOV Gabriel 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
162 PARK Nicholas 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
163 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
164 REDDY Arya 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
165 LIN Harrison 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
166 TIEN Jabin 100% 93% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
167 LI Zachary 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
168 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
169 MAHESH Tarun 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 2%
170 O'DONNELL Benjamin 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
171 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% -
172 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
173 SINGH Aryaman 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
174 SONN Rohan 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
175 BAGCHI Aritra 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
176 ZHANG Nathan 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
177 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
178 DEKERMANJI Christopher 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
179 WU Marcus 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
180 JANG Elliot 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 9% 1%
181 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
182 FISHMAN Rahm 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
183 ZHUANG William 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
183 WANG Trontour 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
185 DOWDELL Riley 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 3% -
186 CAO Brad 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
187 KIM Sullivan 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
188 FENG du 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
189 CHEN Bailey 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
190 BRODSKY Julian 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
191 WANG Max S 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% - -
192 OTTO Nathaniel B. 100% 92% 60% 23% 5% 1% -
192 XIE Brandon 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
192 MUGA Aiden 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
195 SINHA Zaan 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
196 SONG Troy 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
197 DAVIS Jonah 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
198 WONG KEVIN 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
199 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
200 XIONG Aaron 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
201 AGARWAL Adheesh 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
202 CHU Allan 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
203 WU Colin 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
204 TORRES Nicolas 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 7% 1%
205 QUITORIANO Matthew 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
206 LEE JoonWon 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 10% 1%
206 TORRES Gianni 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
208 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
209 MCADOO Declan 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
210 CHEN Zhengyang 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
211 YU Austin 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
212 JAAFAR Hamza 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
212 DONDISCH Ilan 100% 79% 37% 10% 1% - -
212 HANNON Owen 100% 98% 88% 61% 29% 7% 1%
215 SARKAR Anish 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
215 ZHANG ethan 100% 81% 37% 9% 1% - -
217 PRABHAKAR Agasthya 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
218 FERRIERE Joshua 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
219 KUO Rylan 100% 82% 46% 16% 3% - -
219 SUN Jeffery 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
219 LIU Noah 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
222 YUEN Nathan 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
223 BARG Jonathan 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
223 DRIBIN Ezra 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
225 GENCHEV Madav 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
226 HU Robert J. 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
227 RICHARDSON Ray 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
228 SHOUSHA Yassin 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
228 JU Hanul 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
230 BEAVER Aaron 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
231 DACKO Alexander V. 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 2% -
232 SHETTY RIHAN 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
233 HE Zhiheng 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
234 BAZHENOV Anthony 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
235 XIA Oliver 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
236 GAO Zachary 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
237 ANDERSON Kai 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% -
238 KENT V David 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
239 NORDQUIST Zach 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
240 BUERGISSER Kai 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
240 PARKS Isaac 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
240 MIAO Kunqi 100% 69% 25% 5% - - -
243 DHAL Leon 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
244 LOFTUS Luca 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
245 TASKIRAN Mete 100% 61% 17% 2% - - -
246 GAITHER Christopher W. 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
247 FUSSMAN Yuval 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
247 PRAKASH Hari 100% 61% 20% 4% - - -
247 TIRADO Giancarlo 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
247 DAS Roshan 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -
251 LEE Bryson 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% -
252 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.