Junior Olympics

Cadet Men's Épée

Monday, February 20, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Denver, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BEZRODNOV Alexander - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
2 GOLDFINE Ian J. - - - 4% 18% 41% 37%
3 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
3 CLICK Aiden - - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
5 KOKENGE Reid - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
6 MURPHY Thomas P. - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
7 LEE Daniel Y. - - - - 5% 30% 64%
8 KARNAS Karol - 1% 11% 32% 36% 16% 3%
9 KATS Dylan G. - - - 4% 20% 44% 32%
10 DESTEFANO Julius - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
11 BEZRODNOV Michael - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
12 LIOZNYANSKY Simon - - - 5% 25% 44% 25%
13 WU Jonathan - - 1% 8% 28% 43% 20%
14 GAO Chaney C. - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 15%
15 LEE Seungwon - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
16 TREBON Hayden - - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
17 CHONG christopher - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
18 JEYOON Ryan S. - - - 1% 8% 36% 54%
18 GAO Daniel - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
20 YAO Geoffrey B. - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
21 SENNEWALD Frederick A. - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
22 PRASAD Ankith - - 1% 9% 39% 52%
23 CHOI Mason - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
24 KIM Dylan J. - - 1% 6% 26% 43% 25%
25 HIGGINS Branford - - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
26 NEAL John P. - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 20%
27 PHUKAN Rohin - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 5%
28 KOBI Samuel - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
29 WANG owen - 3% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1%
30 SHCHUR Landon - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
31 CHIRASHNYA Daniel - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
32 LUH Ethan K. 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
33 YOUNG Peyton E. - - - 2% 16% 43% 38%
34 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 4%
35 LIEF Isaac R. - - - 4% 19% 41% 35%
36 ZHAO Corey - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
37 ZHENG Haoran - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
38 LONCAR Luka E. - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
39 WIMMER Nathaniel P. - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
39 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
41 PARK Frederick - 1% 7% 23% 37% 27% 6%
42 KIM Nathan - - 3% 16% 36% 36% 9%
43 THOMAS Harris - 1% 6% 24% 39% 26% 6%
44 DAVOODIAN Christopher - 1% 9% 31% 42% 16%
45 MUGA Aiden 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
46 CAO Albert - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
47 SU Caleb - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
48 IARIKOV Nicholas - - 2% 12% 34% 38% 14%
49 DIECK Logan O. - - 1% 8% 26% 42% 22%
50 MACARTY Jordan T. - - 4% 18% 37% 33% 8%
51 O'DONNELL Benjamin - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 7%
52 WATT Darren - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
53 SEEFELDT William Henry C. - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
54 SARKAR agniv - 1% 9% 25% 37% 24% 4%
55 SENNEWALD James J. - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
56 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. - - 3% 13% 33% 36% 15%
56 GALLO James - 1% 5% 18% 35% 33% 10%
58 KWOUN Miles S. - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
59 SCHROEDER Dylan - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
60 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) - 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
61 MODULLA Yathin R. - 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2%
62 SCHULZE Ethan - 1% 7% 23% 38% 26% 4%
63 JONES Caleb - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
64 GOHSMAN Maxwell - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
65 LIN Kyran - - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
66 AGAON Shawn - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
67 LEE Shwan - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
68 IMREK Elijah S. - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
69 KNOX James - - 1% 10% 31% 42% 16%
70 GOHEL Dayus T. - - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
71 NORTH Alexander M. - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
72 NIKOLOV Peter - - 4% 17% 36% 34% 9%
73 ZAYDMAN David M. - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
74 SHA Michael 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
75 IRWIN Peter - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
76 SANCHEZ Emanuel - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
76 SEO Shawn 1% 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
78 RICHARD Owen - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
79 SINGHA Orion - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 19%
80 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 2% 15% 34% 32% 15% 3% -
81 WANG Clayton - 5% 20% 36% 28% 9% 1%
82 PEÑA Ethan 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
83 NGUYEN Tate - - 7% 33% 46% 14%
84 FUSSMAN Yuval 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 2% -
85 HEADRICK Lance - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
86 CHIRASHNYA Adam - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
86 ULINICH Alexander - 1% 7% 23% 37% 27% 5%
88 LIN Harrison 1% 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
89 DODIN David - - 4% 18% 38% 32% 8%
90 PETERSON Matthew 2% 12% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
91 DUAN eric - 1% 10% 30% 38% 18% 3%
92 LEE Samuel Y. - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 24%
92 KIM Sullivan - 2% 15% 35% 32% 13% 2%
94 CHOI Kaiden I. - 5% 18% 33% 31% 12% 1%
95 WANG DEVON - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
96 PARK Elliot - - 3% 14% 35% 37% 10%
97 HAMZA Tudor 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
98 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1%
99 LAI Aedin - 1% 8% 25% 37% 23% 5%
100 JAIN Aditya - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 7%
101 JORDAN Anton - 2% 11% 29% 36% 20% 3%
102 ZHANG Caden - 1% 17% 46% 31% 5%
102 MAO Benjamin 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
104 LEONE III Charles D. - 2% 13% 34% 39% 13%
105 MICKO Fritz K. - - 3% 17% 44% 37%
106 OTTO Nathaniel B. 10% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
107 BORODITSKY Ethan - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
108 MULCAHY Olaf - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
109 DU SHUNYU K. - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
110 EMMERT JP 17% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
111 ABBOUD Michael 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
112 SARIKONDA Akhil 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
113 CASTELLY Luke - 3% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
114 KENT V David 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
115 MCALISTER Ian - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
116 KHANNA Nikhil - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 4%
117 PRIHODKO Max - - 5% 19% 37% 31% 8%
117 CHUNG Joshua - 3% 16% 34% 32% 12% 2%
119 SVERDLOV Seth 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
120 JIN Daniel - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 15%
121 AGARWAL Adheesh 2% 21% 48% 24% 5% - -
122 CAO Brad - 3% 13% 31% 34% 16% 3%
123 BAZHENOV Anthony 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
124 AYABINA JR John 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
125 KUMAR Aidan - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
126 WARD Edward - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
127 LOISEAU Eliott - 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
128 PARK Nicholas - 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
129 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
130 LEE Inwoo 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
131 PARK Ian C. - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
132 WOLFE Alex - - 3% 19% 40% 31% 8%
132 LO Jake - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
134 KIM Byung - - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
135 DORASZELSKI Mark 9% 31% 36% 18% 4% < 1% -
136 XIAO Andrew - 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
137 KIM Ian 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
138 HILBERT Gabriel E. - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
139 AGAON Ethan - 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
140 FU Jason 2% 17% 35% 30% 13% 2% -
141 JAMISON Harper 3% 18% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
141 ZHANG ethan 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
143 FU Leon - 2% 11% 30% 37% 18% 2%
144 BASOK Nikita - 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 3%
145 SARKAR Anish - 4% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
146 KNUDSEN Travis 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
147 PAK Elliot - 6% 22% 36% 26% 8% 1%
148 KOYFMAN Benjamin 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% -
149 LI Patrick - - 1% 9% 30% 42% 18%
150 ZHUANG William 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
151 TRULL A.J. 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
152 AGGELER Donovan 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
153 ZHANG Andy 12% 44% 33% 10% 1% - -
153 DAVIS Jonah - 3% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1%
155 MCADOO Declan 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
156 ZHANG Alec - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
157 LAM Alan 5% 27% 39% 23% 5% -
158 BUERGISSER Kai 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
159 DONAHUE Lake 2% 17% 37% 31% 11% 1%
160 KIM Andrew J. - 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 3%
161 PHAM Sawyer T. - 3% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
162 STRAUSS Luke - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
163 LEE JoonWon - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
164 SILVERS Ari - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 11%
165 SONN Rohan 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
166 KIM Jayden 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
167 SINGH Aryaman 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 7% 1%
168 DAO Alexander - 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1%
168 PARKS Isaac 10% 31% 36% 19% 5% - -
170 LEE Noah - - 1% 10% 33% 41% 16%
171 ELLISON Harper F. - 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
171 VACCARO Dominick J. 1% 9% 26% 34% 23% 7% 1%
173 SINHA Zaan 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
174 PETROV Niki A. 4% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
175 VRAPI Dorian A. 6% 27% 37% 22% 7% 1% -
176 SPINA Joseph B. - 5% 18% 34% 30% 12% 1%
176 HULL Liam 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
176 BLACK Zachary 22% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
179 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
180 RICHARDS Jackson D. - 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
180 CHU Allan - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3%
182 WU Marcus 1% 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
183 ZHANG Nathan - 4% 19% 38% 29% 9% 1%
184 LIU Andrew - 1% 11% 37% 36% 13% 2%
184 CARDENAS Lucas 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
186 NATSVLISHVILI John Vano - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
187 ESKRIDGE Caleb 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
188 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
188 GAO Zachary - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
190 PETERSEN Ephraim 5% 32% 38% 19% 4% - -
191 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
192 LIU Noah 3% 20% 36% 29% 10% 2% -
193 JU Hanul 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% - -
194 SNYDER Ari - 14% 51% 29% 5% -
195 JONES Aiden 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 4%
196 DOWDELL Riley 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
197 EVERS Gabriel 1% 8% 28% 40% 21% 3%
198 CHEN Bailey 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 1%
199 CHOI Zachary 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 2%
200 DEKERMANJI Christopher - 1% 5% 21% 39% 28% 6%
201 SERAFYM Damian 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
202 TANG Charles 29% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
203 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
204 HAN Ethan 4% 22% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
205 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 38% 46% 14% 2% - - -
206 ZHOU Gavin - 5% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1%
207 GAITHER Christopher W. 1% 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
207 LAING Flynt 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
209 HINTON Evan 11% 53% 31% 5% - - -
209 DONDISCH ilan 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
209 PATEL Kushal 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
212 ROLLO Emmett H. 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
212 BUTLER Joel 5% 29% 39% 22% 6% 1% -
214 SINFUEGO Adrian 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
214 RICHARDSON Ray 11% 36% 37% 14% 2% - -
216 GUAN Nathan 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
217 ZHOU Justin - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 6%
218 NALLAMSHETTY Ayan - 6% 24% 37% 25% 6% 1%
218 PERALTA Christian 5% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
220 SCHIEK Harrison - 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
221 LEE Jayden J. 3% 34% 41% 18% 3% - -
222 KOPPE Alexander - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
223 LEE Nathan 6% 29% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
224 HIGGASON Hugh 38% 41% 17% 3% - - -
224 ZHU Eric 2% 11% 29% 34% 20% 5% -
226 FENG Du 2% 24% 42% 25% 6% 1% -
227 MISHRA Milan B. 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% - -
227 GENCHEV Madav 18% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
227 YU Austin 6% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
230 ROMANOV Ethan 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
230 BRUNO Enzo 55% 36% 8% 1% - - -
232 LAI Boden 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
232 USDIN Anton 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
232 JIANG ryan 1% 15% 38% 32% 11% 2% -
235 XIE Brandon 3% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
235 GROOTHUIS David 25% 44% 24% 6% 1% - -
237 HANNON Owen 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
238 TONG Samuel 6% 38% 38% 15% 3% - -
239 JOSLIN Tyler 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
240 MCEVOY Sean 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
241 RAPALSKI Thomas 4% 60% 31% 4% - -
242 CHIN Dylan A. - 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
243 KUGLER Luke 5% 30% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
244 CURTY Jack 3% 20% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
245 PETROW Zoryan 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
246 WAI Andreas 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
247 CASASSOVICI Georges 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
247 NAGEL August 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
249 THOMPSON Ian 2% 27% 41% 23% 6% 1% -
250 BLEICHER Simon 7% 31% 38% 19% 5% - -
251 BHARGAV Angad 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
251 MORTON Joshua 12% 32% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
251 DACHELET Sawyer 22% 44% 26% 7% 1% - -
254 DRIBIN Ezra 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
254 MIAO KUNQI 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
256 VINOTH Aaron 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
257 BRUNDAGE Nevan 42% 41% 15% 3% - - -
258 NAZARIAN Jonah 3% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
259 CREMONA Diego Maria - 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
259 BENTAHA Averroes 28% 44% 23% 5% 1% - -
261 KUBATIN Anton V. 1% 19% 42% 29% 9% 1% -
261 HERNANDEZ Cole F. 2% 28% 43% 22% 5% - -
261 DUSSEAU Maddax 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
264 NOFZIGER Bennett 11% 37% 36% 14% 2% - -
265 LEE Chun Po 2% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
266 HOROWITZ Jacob 58% 34% 8% 1% - - -
266 XIONG Aaron 26% 45% 23% 5% 1% - -
266 LIU Yunhao 22% 45% 25% 6% 1% - -
269 ANDERSON Kai 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
270 MCKINNEY Lukas 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
271 MAJAM Brandon Audie 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
272 KUO Rylan 6% 24% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
273 COVANI Fabrizio 80% 19% 2% - - - -
274 DAS Roshan 28% 44% 23% 5% 1% - -
275 YUEN Nathan 7% 32% 38% 19% 4% - -
276 LEE Bryson 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% -
277 HOWARD Paolo 48% 38% 12% 2% - - -
278 ILYAS Zakariya 2% 20% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
279 CARR Cage 9% 35% 36% 16% 3% - -
280 MITEV Alexander 5% 23% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
281 CHENH Justin 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% -
282 LIU oscar 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% - -
283 HU Robert J. 8% 37% 37% 15% 3% - -
284 NG Biwon 22% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
285 POSSON Luke 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
286 LIU Josh 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
286 HOOD Emery 70% 26% 3% - - - -
286 WEIKEL Joel 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -
289 BARTON Matthew P. 70% 27% 3% - - - -
289 GOROZA Eric 63% 31% 5% - - - -
291 BARTON Luke J. 48% 39% 11% 1% - - -
291 JOHNSON Soren 63% 31% 6% - - - -
291 MCWILLIAMS Miles 31% 43% 21% 4% - - -
294 PARK Augustine 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
294 SHOEMAKER Oliver 85% 14% 1% - - - -
296 MCDONALD Connor 46% 40% 13% 2% - -
296 WACHS Bryce 93% 7% - - - -
298 MOSKOWITZ Martin 30% 49% 18% 3% - - -
298 SONG Troy 5% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
300 COOK Connor 12% 36% 35% 14% 2% - -
301 WELLING Cohen 82% 17% 1% - - - -
302 NELSON Cole 55% 37% 8% 1% - - -
302 LITTLE Alex 36% 42% 18% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.