Junior Olympics

Cadet Men's Épée

Monday, February 20, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Denver, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BEZRODNOV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
2 GOLDFINE Ian J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
3 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
3 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
5 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
6 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
7 LEE Daniel Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
8 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3%
9 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
10 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
11 BEZRODNOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 27%
12 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 25%
13 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
14 GAO Chaney C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 15%
15 LEE Seungwon 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
16 TREBON Hayden 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
17 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
18 JEYOON Ryan S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
18 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 19%
20 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
21 SENNEWALD Frederick A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
22 PRASAD Ankith 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 52%
23 CHOI Mason 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
24 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25%
25 HIGGINS Branford 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8%
26 NEAL John P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 20%
27 PHUKAN Rohin 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 5%
28 KOBI Samuel 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
29 WANG owen 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 12% 1%
30 SHCHUR Landon 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
31 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
32 LUH Ethan K. 100% 98% 87% 59% 27% 7% 1%
33 YOUNG Peyton E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 38%
34 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 24% 4%
35 LIEF Isaac R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 35%
36 ZHAO Corey 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
37 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
38 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
39 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
39 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
41 PARK Frederick 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
42 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 45% 9%
43 THOMAS Harris 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 31% 6%
44 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 16%
45 MUGA Aiden 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2%
46 CAO Albert 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
47 SU Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
48 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
49 DIECK Logan O. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
50 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
51 O'DONNELL Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 7%
52 WATT Darren 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 22% 3%
53 SEEFELDT William Henry C. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 8%
54 SARKAR agniv 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 28% 4%
55 SENNEWALD James J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
56 YAVOROVSKIY Joshua I. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
56 GALLO James 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 10%
58 KWOUN Miles S. 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
59 SCHROEDER Dylan 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
60 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
61 MODULLA Yathin R. 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 14% 2%
62 SCHULZE Ethan 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 30% 4%
63 JONES Caleb 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
64 GOHSMAN Maxwell 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9% 1%
65 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
66 AGAON Shawn 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
67 LEE Shwan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
68 IMREK Elijah S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
69 KNOX James 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 16%
70 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
71 NORTH Alexander M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
72 NIKOLOV Peter 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 9%
73 ZAYDMAN David M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 3%
74 SHA Michael 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 10% 1%
75 IRWIN Peter 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
76 SANCHEZ Emanuel 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
76 SEO Shawn 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
78 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13%
79 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
80 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 100% 98% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
81 WANG Clayton 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
82 PEÑA Ethan 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
83 NGUYEN Tate 100% 100% 100% 93% 60% 14%
84 FUSSMAN Yuval 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 3% -
85 HEADRICK Lance 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
86 CHIRASHNYA Adam 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
86 ULINICH Alexander 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 5%
88 LIN Harrison 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
89 DODIN David 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 8%
90 PETERSON Matthew 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
91 DUAN eric 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
92 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
92 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
94 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 1%
95 WANG DEVON 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
96 PARK Elliot 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 10%
97 HAMZA Tudor 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
98 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
99 LAI Aedin 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
100 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7%
101 JORDAN Anton 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
102 ZHANG Caden 100% 100% 99% 82% 36% 5%
102 MAO Benjamin 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
104 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
105 MICKO Fritz K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
106 OTTO Nathaniel B. 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% -
107 BORODITSKY Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
108 MULCAHY Olaf 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
109 DU SHUNYU K. 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
110 EMMERT JP 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
111 ABBOUD Michael 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1%
112 SARIKONDA Akhil 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
113 CASTELLY Luke 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
114 KENT V David 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
115 MCALISTER Ian 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
116 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 4%
117 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
117 CHUNG Joshua 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
119 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
120 JIN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
121 AGARWAL Adheesh 100% 98% 78% 29% 5% - -
122 CAO Brad 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
123 BAZHENOV Anthony 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
124 AYABINA JR John 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
125 KUMAR Aidan 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
126 WARD Edward 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
127 LOISEAU Eliott 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
128 PARK Nicholas 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
129 LATIF IMRAN ZAKARIYYA 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
130 LEE Inwoo 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1%
131 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
132 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 8%
132 LO Jake 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
134 KIM Byung 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
135 DORASZELSKI Mark 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% < 1% -
136 XIAO Andrew 100% 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
137 KIM Ian 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
138 HILBERT Gabriel E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
139 AGAON Ethan 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 7%
140 FU Jason 100% 98% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
141 JAMISON Harper 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
141 ZHANG ethan 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
143 FU Leon 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 2%
144 BASOK Nikita 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
145 SARKAR Anish 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 12% 1%
146 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
147 PAK Elliot 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
148 KOYFMAN Benjamin 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% -
149 LI Patrick 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
150 ZHUANG William 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
151 TRULL A.J. 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 4% -
152 AGGELER Donovan 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
153 ZHANG Andy 100% 88% 44% 11% 1% - -
153 DAVIS Jonah 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
155 MCADOO Declan 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 5% -
156 ZHANG Alec 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 13%
157 LAM Alan 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% -
158 BUERGISSER Kai 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
159 DONAHUE Lake 100% 98% 80% 43% 12% 1%
160 KIM Andrew J. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
161 PHAM Sawyer T. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
162 STRAUSS Luke 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
163 LEE JoonWon 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 1%
164 SILVERS Ari 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
165 SONN Rohan 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9% 1%
166 KIM Jayden 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
167 SINGH Aryaman 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
168 DAO Alexander 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
168 PARKS Isaac 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
170 LEE Noah 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
171 ELLISON Harper F. 100% 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
171 VACCARO Dominick J. 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
173 SINHA Zaan 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
174 PETROV Niki A. 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
175 VRAPI Dorian A. 100% 94% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
176 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
176 HULL Liam 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
176 BLACK Zachary 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
179 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 100% 91% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
180 RICHARDS Jackson D. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
180 CHU Allan 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
182 WU Marcus 100% 99% 90% 60% 25% 5% -
183 ZHANG Nathan 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
184 LIU Andrew 100% 100% 99% 88% 51% 15% 2%
184 CARDENAS Lucas 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
186 NATSVLISHVILI John Vano 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
187 ESKRIDGE Caleb 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% -
188 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
188 GAO Zachary 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
190 PETERSEN Ephraim 100% 95% 62% 24% 5% 1% -
191 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
192 LIU Noah 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
193 JU Hanul 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
194 SNYDER Ari 100% 100% 86% 35% 6% -
195 JONES Aiden 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4%
196 DOWDELL Riley 100% 99% 87% 58% 23% 4%
197 EVERS Gabriel 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
198 CHEN Bailey 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 1%
199 CHOI Zachary 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2%
200 DEKERMANJI Christopher 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 35% 6%
201 SERAFYM Damian 100% 89% 53% 19% 4% - -
202 TANG Charles 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
203 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
204 HAN Ethan 100% 96% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
205 RITTERSHAUS Bryce 100% 62% 16% 2% - - -
206 ZHOU Gavin 100% 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
207 GAITHER Christopher W. 100% 99% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
207 LAING Flynt 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
209 HINTON Evan 100% 89% 36% 5% - - -
209 DONDISCH ilan 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
209 PATEL Kushal 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
212 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 12% 1%
212 BUTLER Joel 100% 95% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
214 SINFUEGO Adrian 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% - -
214 RICHARDSON Ray 100% 89% 53% 17% 3% - -
216 GUAN Nathan 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
217 ZHOU Justin 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
218 NALLAMSHETTY Ayan 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 7% 1%
218 PERALTA Christian 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
220 SCHIEK Harrison 100% 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
221 LEE Jayden J. 100% 97% 62% 21% 4% - -
222 KOPPE Alexander 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
223 LEE Nathan 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
224 HIGGASON Hugh 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
224 ZHU Eric 100% 98% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
226 FENG Du 100% 98% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
227 MISHRA Milan B. 100% 91% 59% 21% 4% - -
227 GENCHEV Madav 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
227 YU Austin 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
230 ROMANOV Ethan 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
230 BRUNO Enzo 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
232 LAI Boden 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
232 USDIN Anton 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
232 JIANG ryan 100% 99% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
235 XIE Brandon 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 2% -
235 GROOTHUIS David 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% - -
237 HANNON Owen 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
238 TONG Samuel 100% 94% 56% 18% 3% - -
239 JOSLIN Tyler 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
240 MCEVOY Sean 100% 73% 32% 7% 1% -
241 RAPALSKI Thomas 100% 96% 36% 5% - -
242 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
243 KUGLER Luke 100% 95% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
244 CURTY Jack 100% 97% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
245 PETROW Zoryan 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
246 WAI Andreas 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
247 CASASSOVICI Georges 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
247 NAGEL August 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
249 THOMPSON Ian 100% 98% 71% 30% 7% 1% -
250 BLEICHER Simon 100% 93% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
251 BHARGAV Angad 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
251 MORTON Joshua 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
251 DACHELET Sawyer 100% 78% 34% 8% 1% - -
254 DRIBIN Ezra 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
254 MIAO KUNQI 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
256 VINOTH Aaron 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
257 BRUNDAGE Nevan 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
258 NAZARIAN Jonah 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
259 CREMONA Diego Maria 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
259 BENTAHA Averroes 100% 72% 28% 6% 1% - -
261 KUBATIN Anton V. 100% 99% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
261 HERNANDEZ Cole F. 100% 98% 70% 28% 5% 1% -
261 DUSSEAU Maddax 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
264 NOFZIGER Bennett 100% 89% 52% 17% 3% - -
265 LEE Chun Po 100% 98% 81% 45% 15% 2% -
266 HOROWITZ Jacob 100% 42% 9% 1% - - -
266 XIONG Aaron 100% 74% 29% 6% 1% - -
266 LIU Yunhao 100% 78% 32% 7% 1% - -
269 ANDERSON Kai 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
270 MCKINNEY Lukas 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
271 MAJAM Brandon Audie 100% 81% 40% 11% 1% - -
272 KUO Rylan 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
273 COVANI Fabrizio 100% 20% 2% - - - -
274 DAS Roshan 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
275 YUEN Nathan 100% 93% 61% 23% 5% - -
276 LEE Bryson 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
277 HOWARD Paolo 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
278 ILYAS Zakariya 100% 98% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
279 CARR Cage 100% 91% 55% 19% 3% - -
280 MITEV Alexander 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
281 CHENH Justin 100% 68% 26% 6% 1% -
282 LIU oscar 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
283 HU Robert J. 100% 92% 55% 18% 3% - -
284 NG Biwon 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
285 POSSON Luke 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
286 LIU Josh 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
286 HOOD Emery 100% 30% 3% - - - -
286 WEIKEL Joel 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
289 BARTON Matthew P. 100% 30% 3% - - - -
289 GOROZA Eric 100% 37% 6% - - - -
291 BARTON Luke J. 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
291 JOHNSON Soren 100% 37% 6% - - - -
291 MCWILLIAMS Miles 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
294 PARK Augustine 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
294 SHOEMAKER Oliver 100% 15% 1% - - - -
296 MCDONALD Connor 100% 54% 15% 2% - -
296 WACHS Bryce 100% 7% - - - -
298 MOSKOWITZ Martin 100% 70% 21% 3% - - -
298 SONG Troy 100% 95% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
300 COOK Connor 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% - -
301 WELLING Cohen 100% 18% 1% - - - -
302 NELSON Cole 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
302 LITTLE Alex 100% 64% 21% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.